Sports Picks & Predictions

4* Major ESPN 2 Prime Time Pounder on South Florida +9.5
Bottom Line: In order to cover this spread, Cincy is going to have to score off of turnovers and I just don't see it happening when you consider that S. Florida is a perfect 7-0 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing 14 or less turnovers per game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. We'll take the points.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Boston College +6.5
Bottom Line: B.C. is on a 10-1 ATS run in road games off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite, winning in these spots by an average score of 71.2 to 68.6. It's nice to be catching the Canes on a Tuesday as they are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. Plus, the Hurricanes are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. the ACC. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Tuesday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers +6.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are a completely different team than they were when they were crushed by the Heat just before the New Year as they now have their best player, Danny Granger, back in the lineup. Right away you have to like Indy's chances of covering this number when you consider that road teams revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more are 29-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the underdog is 20-6-2 ATS in the last 28 meetings. You also have to love the fact that the Heat are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite and only 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. We'll take the points tonight.

4* Major NBA Super System of the Week (TNT) on Suns +2
Bottom Line: This is an extremely motivated spot for the Suns, who have lost 3 in a row and were embarrassed by Charlotte in their last game. Plus, the Suns will be especially hungry tonight as they were defeated at home by the Grizzlies 128-103 earlier this month. Now it's pay back time. Plays on road teams (PHOENIX) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half, are 25-3 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is already off to a 2-0 start this season. Take the Suns.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year (TNT) on Magic +6.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back embarrassing losses, expect the Magic to finally show up tonight in a big way against the team that defeated them in last year's NBA Finals. Plays on any team (ORLANDO) off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest, are 26-5 ATS the last 3 seasons. The rest seems to be the key here as the Magic are 14-3 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons. But motivation is clearly a key as well, as the Magic are 16-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. It is also worth noting that the Underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. We'll take the points.

4* Major "Total" Blowout on Kings/Bobcats UNDER 196.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, are 84-47 since 1996. This system is also 22-10 the last 3 seasons. The Kings have now played to the Under in 7 straight and I expect them to again tonight in this fatigued spot.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -6.5
Bottom Line: A couple things really stand out here. The first is the Jazz are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5 to 10.5 points. The second is the Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing with 3 or more day's rest. With Utah having just played Saturday, I look for a fresh Nuggets team to run the Jazz off the court tonight. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bobcats -2
Bottom Line: I'll take the Bobcats at home, where they are 15-4 on the season, against a Suns team that has lost 9 of its last 10 on the road. Plus, the Suns are coming off s heartbreaker in Atlanta last night which will make it very difficult to get up for this one. Playing the back-to-back should hurt a Suns team which relies on an uptempo offense far worse here. In fact, the Bobcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Also, the Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Cats.

4* Major NCAAB Under the Radar Bomb on Fordham +18
Bottom Line: Fordham isn't getting enough respect with this line. Plays on Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FORDHAM) after scoring 60 points or less, against an opponent after scoring 95 points or more, are 51-21 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points!

3* Friday Night NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Magic -4.5
Bottom Line: The reason why we are seeing this line is because Brandon Roy is listed as doubtful for the Blazers, and rightfully so, as I give the banged up Blazers no shot without him healthy tonight. The Magic will be very hungry in this spot following an embarrassing loss to Denver. The Magic are 60-28-1 ATS in their last 89 games following a loss and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games when following a loss of more than 10 points. The Magic are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series. Take Orlando.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Suns +5
Bottom Line: I think Atlanta is the better team, but it has struggled with the Phoenix and its uptempo game. In fact, Atlanta has lost three straight to Phoenix and nine of the last 11 meetings. The Suns enter Atlanta as motivated as ever, too, after blowing a 24-point lead and losing to the Pacers in their last game. I expect Phoenix's defense to be much better tonight after that performance and history would agree with me. The Suns are 13-3 ATS after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 112.3 to 105.5. The Suns are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. This is a gut check game for the Suns, and I believe they will rise to the occasion.

4* Major Line Mistake on Kings +3
Bottom Line: The Kings lost by 10 points at home to the 76ers on Dec. 30th, but Tyreke Evans and Kevin Martin did not play in that game. Martin, who averaged 30.6 points in five games before injuring his left wrist, is expected to return to action tonight. I expect a big game from Evans tonight, playing close to where he grew up in Chester, PA. He is averaging 20.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.0 assists. Philly is 1-9 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game this season, losing to these teams by an average score of 96.2 to 102.5. Take the points.

3* NBA on TNT Bailout on Utah Jazz +1
Bottom Line: The Jazz are rolling with back-to-back blowout wins over Dallas and Miami and I like them to get past the Cavs at home tonight. The Jazz are an impressive 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points (Utah listed at -1 at some books), 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games period, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. Utah is one of the toughest places in the NBA to win, and the Cavs will find that out first hand tonight. Take the Jazz.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Bulls +7
Bottom Line: I really like the Bulls tonight. Chicago is quietly playing much better basketball and has covered the spread in 8 of its last 9 and 11 of its last 14 as a result. The Bulls will be especially motivated here because they have been crushed by Boston twice already this season. The shorthanded Celtics, who are playing without Kevin Garnett and Rasheed Wallace, just played last night, and it is worth mentioning that the Celtics are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without any rest. The Celtics are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Bulls haven't played since the 11th so they'll be ready to go here, but the Celtics have been playing a lot of basketball in few days. In fact, Boston is on a 5-16 ATS slide in home games when playing its 5th game in 7 days, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 94.5 to 95.7. Take the Bulls.

4* Major NCAAB Letdown Game of the Week on Auburn +16
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for Tennessee after pulling off the improbable upset over Kansas. Last season Auburn split with a Tennessee team that was much more talented than the one we'll see tonight, and its loss was by just 9 points. I just can't see the Vols getting up for this one the way they did for Kansas. Auburn is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons, and we expect this trend to continue. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Underdog of the Week on Spurs +2
Bottom Line: I know the Spurs are coming off a big win over the Lakers last night, but I expect no letdown tonight as they look to pay the Thunder back for handing them a loss earlier this season. Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO), an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more, are 27-6 ATS since 1996. Take the Spurs.

4* Major Big 12 Game of the Week on Iowa State +8
Bottom Line: Longhorns are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 vs. the Big 12. The Cyclones are 9-1 at home this season and I look for them to keep it close with the help of a little Hilton Magic.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Pounder on Boston College +17
Bottom Line: Other than talent, Duke wins because it gets teams playing faster than they are capable of playing because of its pressure defense, but I don't expect that to affect a Boston College team that returns 4 starts and is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings with Duke. Plus BC is 7-0 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy ESPN 2 Game of the Year on UConn -6
Bottom Line: Getting UConn at home in this point spread range has been money as it is on a 17-5 ATS run as a home favorite of 6 points or less and on a 12-3 ATS run as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Off a loss to Georgetown, and looking to avenge back-to-back losses to Pitt, look for the Huskies to roll tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 200.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers are 12-4 Under versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game this season and 14-5 Under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points this season (line opened at 199). The Under is also 11-4 in the Grizzlies' last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. The last 2 meetings have both came in Under this number with the teams combining for just 186 points in the last. Bet the Under.

4* Major NCAAB Underdog of the Week on Drake +6
Bottom Line: Drake played Creighton to a 4-point game on the road as a 13-point dog. It then won outright by 5 at Southern Illinois as a 12.5-point dog to show its improved play is no fluke. We'll take the points tonight as we fully expect the Bulldogs to take this one right down to the wire with an excellent opportunity to win. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Side of the Night on Bobcats -2.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Charlotte is 13-4 at home this season and I look for it to continue its strong play on its home floor tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Suns -8.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks were crushed 95-77 by the Lakers last night to fall to 4-12 on the road this season. Now, they get a rested and motivated Suns team that is 14-4 at home on the season. The Suns haven't played since the 8th and they will be motivated to get back in the win column following a home loss to Miami in their last game. Phoenix has flat out had Milwaukee's number, having won 21 straight home games against the Bucks. To make matters worse, the Bucks are expected to be without starting guard Michael Redd who continues to have problems with his knees. Take the Suns.

4* Major Big East Game of the Week (ESPN) on Louisville -2.5
Bottom Line: The Cards have had Nova's number, winning 3 in a row SU & ATS. In all, the Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this matchup. Look for the Wildcats to wear down tonight against the pressure defense of Louisville barely 48 hours after a tough one against Marquette. Louisville is 18-6 ATS against conference opponents the last 2 seasons. Looking back further, the Cardinals are an incredible 42-13-2 ATS in their last 57 vs. the Big East. They are also 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less. Take the Cards.

4* Major Sunday NBA Blowout on Lakers -8.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back defeats, expect the Lakers to roll at home tonight against a Bucks team that is only 4-11 on the road this season. The Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and we'll lay the points in this highly motivated spot.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Magic -3.5
Bottom Line: Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 1 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 73-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. Look for the Magic to get the cover here as they improve to 5-0 SU & ATS in their last 5 games against the Hawks.

4* Major Early Blowout on Ole Miss -2.5
Bottom Line: The Rebs went down at home to the Bulldogs last season and there's no way Ole Miss let's that happen again here. Ole Miss is 11-1 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 79.6 to 66.6 and I fully expect this trend to stay true today.

3* SUREFIRE on Hawks -3
Bottom Line: Boston is not the same team without Kevin Garnett and that's why Atlanta gets the nod laying a small number at home here. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the Celtics are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Plus, the Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less and 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games as a home favorite period. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy Friday Night NBA Double Digit Blood Bath on Grizzlies -3
Bottom Line: Memphis is 7-0 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs. an opponent this season, winning these games by an average score of 108.7 to 98.6. Utah really crushed the Grizzlies in Utah on Wednesday, but Memphis had just played a tough one in Portland the night before. The Grizzlies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and I look for them to bounce back strong here.

3* SUREFIRE on Magic -7.5
Bottom Line: Off 3 straight losses, expect the Magic to bounce back strong with a big win over the struggling Wizards. Washington is just 4-17 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 87.0 to 97.2. Take the Magic.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Missouri State -2
Bottom Line: Missouri State is a perfect 8-0 at home this season and I don't see this streak coming to an end tonight against a Wichita State team that is 0-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Shockers are also just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 6.5 or less and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Missouri State.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Miami UNDER 188
Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team, Boston in this case, playing with 3 or more days rest, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 84-44 the last 5 seasons. Expect a well rested Boston team to really tighten the screws on the defensive end tonight to keep this one Under.

4* Major NCAAB Blowout of the Week on Illinois -15.5
Bottom Line: Iowa is 0-4 when playing away from home this season, losing these games by an average score of 17.2 points. Illinois is 8-0 at home this season, winning these games by an average of 20.6 points. Off a tough loss to Gonzaga, expect Illinois to take out its frustration on the lowly Hawkeyes tonight. Iowa is just 3-10 ATS in all lined games this season and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Lay the points.

3* NBA Side of the Night on Pistons +8.5
Bottom Line: The fact that the Pistons have lost 9 in a row SU & ATS has forced odds makers to undervalue them. Detroit hasn't played since December 31st so it will be well rested and well prepared for this one. While Dallas is 11-5 at home this season, it is just 5-11 ATS in those games. Plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 8 or more consecutive losses, with a losing record, are 30-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

4* NBA "Total" Blowout on Bulls/Bobcats UNDER 187
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 40-15 the last 5 seasons. The average posted total in these games has been 185.8 and we are seeing an average combined total score of just 181.4. This system is already 1-0 this season. This one gets the nod as a "Total" Blowout because I like it to finish at least 10 points Under the number. In fact, the last time these two teams faced off in Charlotte, we saw just 176 total points scored. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Hawks pk
Bottom Line: Both teams have lost 3 in a row so motivation will not be an issue on either side, but I'll side with the better team in this spot, which has had an extra day to rest. The Hawks have won 4 of the last 5 games in this matchup with those 4 wins all coming by 10 points or more. Plus, the Heat are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. We'll take the Hawks.

3* NCAAB Game of the Night on NC Wilmington +9
Bottom Line: The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Meanwhile, the Tribe are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. William and Mary is being overvalued here. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Spurs -1 (still like it up to -4)
Bottom Line: The Spurs have already defeated the Raptors by 7 points this season in a game that Duncan and Parker didn't play in. Both are expected in the lineup today, and with that in mind, I feel San Antonio should be laying more than 1-point here. Toronto is on a 1-12 ATS slide versus very good shooting teams making >=48% of their shots over the last 3 seasons and on a 1-6 ATS skid when playing on 0 day's rest. Take the Spurs again today.

4* Major Saturday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -5.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs have defeated the Wizards 8 straight times by at least 7 points, and I expect this trend to continue tonight. Washington is in disarray on and off the court while the Spurs are playing their best ball of the season, winning 10 of their last 12 with 9 of those 10 wins coming by at least 7 points. Take the Spurs.

5* NBA Blowout of the Month on Spurs -8
Bottom Line: Tough spot for Miami here after losing a tough one in New Orleans last night, especially since it is going up against a Spurs team playing its best ball of the season. San Antonio has won 9 of its last 11 games, and it has owned the Heat at home, winning 10 of its last 12 against them in San Antonio. The Spurs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Southeast. Look for them to drop the hammer on Miami tonight.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Wyoming +1.5
Bottom Line: The Cowboys are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less. Off an embarrassing loss at Northern Iowa, expect the Cowboys to bounce back in a big way on their home floor tonight. Take Wyoming.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Hawks +6.5
Bottom Line: It's normally good practice to take the team that lost in the first game of a home-and-home in the second, and that's what we'll do here as Cleveland is clearly being overvalued against a Hawks team hungry to avenge last night's loss. Plus, the Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division GOTY on Pacers +7
Bottom Line: I think the Bulls are getting too much respect with this line against a Pacers team extremely motivated to win after suffering 6 straight defeats. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, the Bulls are 2-10-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite, and just 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Wizards +6
Bottom Line: We'll play against any team (Memphis) off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog against an opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite as this situation is 31-8 ATS since 1996. This system in 12-3 ATS the last 5 seasons and already 2-0 ATS this season. Washington isn't getting enough respect here. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/Nuggets UNDER 209
Bottom Line: This matchup has seen 4 straight play to the Over, which has driven this number up, to create value in taking the Under. The public is all over the Over here which is precisely where the books want it to be. We'll go against the grain to cut into the house profits today. Consider that George Karl's teams are 22-7 Under in home games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1996 with the average combined score totaling just 194.5 in these spots. Expect Denver to do a better job of digging in defensively tonight. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on LA Lakers -5.5
Bottom Line: I know the Lakers are playing back-to-back here, but they were embarrassed last night by the Cavs. Expect them to be extremely hungry in this spot against a team they defeated by 18 points the last time they visited. Here's the key: Plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 31-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take LA.

4* Major Christmas Day Marquee Matchup (ABC) on Cavs +5
Bottom Line: This is a statement game for Cleveland to show that it belongs in the title discussion. The Cavs will especially be hungry to hand LA a loss here after losing both meetings last season. I expect Shaquille O'Neal to especially play with a chip on his shoulder as he goes up against his former team. The public is all over the Lakers here, but they have dropped 5 of their last 7 ATS. Plus, Cleveland is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 against LA. And lastly, the Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Cleveland.

4* Major Wednesday NBA BLOOD BATH on Nuggets -3.5
Bottom Line: I'll back a rested Nuggets team at home, where it is 12-1 this season, in a highly motivated spot off back-to-back losses against a Hawks team that just played last night. Plus, Atlanta crushed Denver by 25 in Atlanta earlier this season and you can bet the Nuggets haven't forgotten. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take Denver.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Wizards/Bucks UNDER 202
Bottom Line: Washington is 12-1 UNDER in a road game where the total opens between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The average total score in these games is 186.6. Plus, the UNDER is 4-1 in the Wizards' last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Pound the Under tonight.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Thunder +9.5
Bottom Line: OKC is a perfect 10-0 ATS after a game where it failed to cover the spread this season. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. Plus, they will be looking to avenge a 16-point loss in LA last month. Expect OKC to keep this one close.

5* Wiseguy ESPN 2 Game of the Month on Michigan State +8.5
Bottom Line: Expect the experienced Spartans to stick with the Longhorns tonight, and expect them to do it with defense. Michigan State has defeated the Horns each of the last 3 seasons, while holding them to only 65.3 ppg. Plus, plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=60 shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less, are 22-3 ATS since 1997. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Take the points.

4* Major Monday NBA "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Suns UNDER 209
Bottom Line: The Suns have played to the Under in 9 of their last 11 games and I expect this trend to continue as odds makers continue to set the bar too high. Plus, plays Under on any team (CLEVELAND) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-12 since 1996. This system is also 11-2 over the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Game of the Month (ESPN) on UNC +7
Bottom Line: This is just too many points for the Heels to be catching on a neutral floor. Texas has not played a very challenging schedule to this point and I expect the Longhorns to pay for that in this game as they won't be ready for a team that can match them in terms of speed, talent, and athleticism. UNC is 23-7 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense holding opponents to <=42% over the last 3 seasons. Take the points.

3* Surefire on Long Beach State +4
Bottom Line: Long Beach State is a perfect 2-0 at home this season and I look for it to pull off the small upset to remain unbeaten at home tonight. The Aggies have been poison in the small road chalk at just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite of 6.5 points or less and we'll steer clear here. Take the points.

4* Major NCAAB Dog of the Week on Pacific +12
Bottom Line: St. Mary's is getting way too much respect here against a 7-2 Pacific team. Pacific played St. Mary's to a 9-point game last season and I feel it has improved while the Gaels have taken a small step back. Plays on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points after a blowout win by 30 points or more against an opponent that scored 95 or more points in its last game are 29-5 ATS since 1997. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy Friday NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Hawks UNDER 206.5
Bottom Line: Atlanta has been an Overs machine at home this season, but much of that is because of a favorable home slate to this point. Consider that Atlanta is 16-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons, with the average combined score totaling just 179.9 points in these games. The last 3 meetings in this matchup have gone Under and we'll ride that wave again here.

4* Major NBA on TNT Game of the Week on Blazers -2
Bottom Line: Portland is 9-4 at home this season and I expect it to defend its home court tonight. The Blazers have been dominant in the small chalk at 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. The Suns have lost 5 in a row on the road and are actually allowing 2.2 more points on the road than they are scoring while the Blazers are outscoring their opponents by 7.2 ppg at home. Take Portland.

3* Surefire on Oregon State -3.5
Bottom Line: Illinois-Chicago has lost 6 in a row and I believe the Beavers hand it No. 7 here. Oregon State will be hungry to rebound from a loss at Nebraska and it is 6-0 ATS in road games after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. With as well as the Beavers defend, I like their chances here.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Nets UNDER 200
Bottom Line: This series has been an Unders machine with the Under going 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. Plus, New Jersey has been an Unders machine this season at 16-7-2 Under in all games with the average score totaling just 189.2 points. And lastly, the Under is 5-0 in the Nets' last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Bet the Under.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Ohio pk
Bottom Line: Ohio is one tough cookie on its home floor. In fact, it is on a 20-5 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick and a perfect 6-0 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Illinois State is just 1-5 ATS its last 6 games, which tells me that it is overrated. Take the Bobcats.

3* Surefire on Richmond +5
Bottom Line: The Spiders are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less, 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, and 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. loss. Richmond is 8-0 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, actually winning by an average score of 70.6 to 69.9 in these spots. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Lakers/Bulls UNDER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CHICAGO) - cold team having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against a hot team having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 44-18 ATS the last 5 seasons. The books are cashing in big while the Lakers have played to the Under in 4 straight as the public continues to pound the Over. Last week, we cashed in on the Lakers Under twice, including our "Total" Blowout of the Month on the T-Wolves/Lakers Under on Friday night. We'll ride it again here.

3* Surefire on Rutgers -7
Bottom Line: Rider is 0-6 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons and I expect this trend to continue as Rutgers has a lot more size to dominate the boards with and the best player on the floor in Mike Rosario. The Rider Broncs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. We'll take the favorite in this one.

4* Major Monday NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/76ers UNDER 210
Bottom Line: The Warriors have gone Under in 4 straight, not even cracking the century mark in 3 of those games as they have not been the same high-scoring team away from home. The 76ers have been Under in 3 straight as they have failed to score more than 91 points during this stretch. Plus, Philly is 7-0 Under off a home loss this season. With all these factors in mind, these teams should struggle to reach the century mark tonight. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Jazz UNDER 203.5
Bottom Line: I had the Under on this matchup Wednesday for an easy win. The books had the line set at 206.5 and we saw just 178 total points scored. Now the line is just 3 points lower and that is not enough of an adjustment to keep this one from going Under by double digits. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and I expect this trend to continue.

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit Blood Bath Game of the Month on Nuggets -8.5
Bottom Line: After back-to-back road losses where the Nuggets failed to score 100 points, I expect them to really run up the score at home tonight against a tired Phoenix team. Denver is 9-1 at home where it is winning by 13.9 points on average. Phoenix is a terrible 6-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 100.9 to 111.5 while Denver is is 12-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 113 to 97.4. Take Denver as it takes this one by double digits.

4* Major NCAAB Early Blowout on George Mason -2
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Creighton after a big win over Nebraska in a rivalry game. This is also a revenge spot for GM, who was defeated by 13 points by Creighton last season. Expect GM to return the favor here. The key is its defense which is only allowing 57.3 ppg at home. In fact, GM is on a 12-2 ATS run in home games after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games, winning in these spots by an average score of 70.4 to 57. Lay the points.

5* NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on T-Wolves/Lakers UNDER 201
Bottom Line: The public is all over the Over here, but the lowly T-Wolves have been an Unders machine. They have gone Under the number in 5 of their last 6 games and 10 of their last 13. In fact, Minnesota has played to the Under in 7 of 10 road games this season. Also, the Lakers have no real incentive to run up the score tonight as they play again tomorrow night in Utah to start a 5-game road trip and they'll want to be fresh for that. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in this series in Los Angeles. The Under is 34-15-2 in the Timberwolves last 51 overall and 6-0 in their last 6 road games. The Under is also 10-3-2 in the Lakers last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pound the Under.

3* Surefire on Knicks/Hornets UNDER 209
Bottom Line: The Under is 20-7 in the Hornets' last 27 home games and 21-5 in their last 26 Friday games. The odds makers have set the bar too high here. With as much of an Unders machine as the Hornets have been at home, I'll bet the Under tonight.

4* Major NCAAB Total of the Week on Iowa/Iowa State UNDER 129
Bottom Line: This is a rivalry game so I expect both teams to really get after it on the defensive end tonight. Because Iowa lacks depth and athleticism, it must play a half court clock-eating offense, slowing the game down to have a chance to win. In fact, Iowa is 19-6 Under when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons, with the average score totaling just 116.2 points in these games. Iowa is only averaging 55.7 ppg on the road this season and I expect it to have a hard time reaching that mark tonight. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Wizards OVER 193.5
Bottom Line: We've seen the last 4 meetings between these two teams sail over the number and I expect this trend to continue tonight. The Over is also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington between these two sides and 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Washington knows it can't beat the Celtics in the half court. The Wiz are well rested and I expect them to get out and run tonight to give them their best chance of winning. Bet the Over.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Lakers UNDER 206.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers have done a good job of putting the clamps on defensively against the best teams in the league. In fact, the Lakers are 16-6 UNDER in home games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Only 196.4 total points are being scored on average in these games. Bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Prime Time Pounder on UConn pk
Bottom Line: Good spot for the Huskies tonight. They will be very focused and determined here after getting a scare against Harvard while the Wildcats find themselves in a letdown spot after an emotionally and physically draining win over the Tar Heels. The Huskies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. the SEC and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Another key factor is that the Wildcats are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. Take UConn in a good spot tonight.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Non-Conference GOTM on K-State -5
Bottom Line: This is an extremely tough spot for Xavier playing its first true road game of the season against an experienced K-State team that is 4-0 at home on the season. Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after leading their last 3 games by 5 or more points at the half, with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season, are 29-8 ATS since 1997. This system is 10-3 ATS the last 5 years and 7-2 ATS the last 3 years. We'll ride it again tonight.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Suns/Mavs UNDER 215
Bottom Line: Both teams are struggling offensively as they are missing key players Leandro Barbosa and Josh Howard. The Suns are still getting overvalued because of the way they started the season and they are on a 5-0 run to the Under as a result. Looking back further, they are 9-2 Under their last 11. Plays Under on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHOENIX); an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 28-5 the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 2-0 this season and we'll ride it again here.

3* SUREFIRE on Illinois -3.5
Bottom Line: Illinois won by 6 at Vandy last season and this year's Illinois squad is a much better team. Illinois is on a 10-1 ATS run in home games off a home no-cover where it won straight up as a favorite. Illinois will be too physical for Vandy tonight. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Georgetown -2.5
Bottom Line: The Hoyas aren't getting much respect with this line because they haven't played a very challenging schedule thus far, but with as physical as they are, and as strong as they are defensively, I like them to take care of business in an ugly one tonight. Georgetown is on an 11-2 ATS run in road games after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more and I'll take the Hoyas on a neutral court (MSG) tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Auburn -4
Bottom Line: Auburn is on an 18-7 ATS run in home games after a loss by 6 points or less, winning in these spots by an average score of 73.1 to 65.7. Virginia is on a 10-26 ATS slide as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick, losing in these spots by an average score of 66.5 to 75.1. Auburn won at Virginia by 2 points last season and I have the Tigers extending that margin of victory at home this year.

4* Major NCAAB Line Mistake of the Week on Colorado +3
Bottom Line: Really think the wrong team is favored here. Colorado's only 2 losses were nailbiters against Arizona and Gonzaga (by a combined 8 points) while the Beavers have lost to cream puffs Texas A&M CC and Sacramento State. Colorado is the much more explosive offensive team and that figures to present a problem for the Beavers since they are on an 0-6 ATS slide in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game. Take the Buffs.

4* Major Friday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pistons -4
Bottom Line: The Bucks have the better record on the season, but they are only 2-6 on the road. They also defeated Detroit back on Halloween so the Pistons will be hungry to return the favor here. Detroit is 6-3 SU & ATS versus the Bucks the last 3 seasons, including 3-1 SU & ATS at home during this span. The favorite is now 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. I'll go against the public here and grab the Pistons at home.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Illinois Chicago +9.5
Bottom Line: The Flames are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings at Wisconsin-Milwaukee and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Flames are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Horizon League and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. With as close as this matchup has been the last couple seasons, I can't see Wis-Mil posting a double digit win in this Horizon League opener.

5* Wiseguy ACC/Big Ten Challenge (ESPN 2) on Ohio State -6
Bottom Line: I'll take the more experienced, more rested team on its home floor tonight. Plays on a favorite (OHIO ST) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, with all five starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 44-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Seminoles have played a lot of games in few days and that will take a toll here as Ohio State pulls away in the second half.

4* Major on Tulsa -2.5
Bottom Line: Tulsa has been money on its home floor at 5-0 this season, and after a road loss to Missouri State, the Golden Hurricane will be very hungry tonight at home in this in-state rivalry game. In fact, Tulsa is 11-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick since the beginning of the 2007 season, winning in these spots by an average of 71.7 to 62.0. The public is on Oky State here, but I'll roll with the best team in Conference USA at home, one that returns four starters from a 25-win team of a season ago. Lay the number.

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards -2.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks have lost 3 straight on the road and they were clearly pretenders while getting off to a fast start. Plus, they find themselves shorthanded tonight with Michael Redd out indefinitely (which really hurts) and both Luc Richard Mbah a Moute and Luke Ridnour listed as questionable. Washington has won 3 of 4 and I look for it to hold serve at home tonight. Plays against road teams (Bucks), a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) going up against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after a close win by 3 points or less, are 41-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the Wiz.

5* Wiseguy ACC v. Big Ten Challenge (ESPN 2) on Virginia Tech -2.5
Bottom Line: Really think Iowa goes down by double digits here unless it can shoot the lights out from 3-point range, but in 3 road games, Tech's opponents are just 4 of 16 from deep (27.7%). Plus, in 4 home games, Iowa is just 6 of 25 from deep (26.3%). With the amount of athletic ability the Hawks are giving up, they're really going to have to be able to stroke it and that's something they haven't been able to do thus far. I expect Iowa to have no answer for Malcolm Delaney and Jeff Allen tonight. The Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Suns/Knicks UNDER 225.5
Bottom Line: Mike D'Antoni is 13-2 Under after having lost 8 or more of his last 10 games as the coach of the Knicks. The average total combined score in these spots is 205 points. D'Antoni, who coached the Suns when they were one of the elite teams in the West, knows he doesn't have the talent to beat them in an uptempo contest. Plus, the Suns have the Cavs tomorrow night so they will look to rest players when possible. And also, their second unit takes a major hit without Leandro Barbosa. Lastly, the Under is 6-1-1 in the Suns last 8 games as a road favorite. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Dog of the Week on Nets +4.5
Bottom Line: Nets don't want their name in the NBA record books for the worst start ever. The Nets are two losses shy of tying that mark heading into tonight's game. But if they lose tonight, they will match the record for the worst start in franchise history and they don

3* SUREFIRE on Cavs/Pistons UNDER 184
Bottom Line: Both of these teams are well rested and that means they will have plenty of energy for the defensive end. This series has been an Unders machine with 23 of the last 24 going Under the number. All 6 meetings at Detroit have gone Under the last 2 seasons and I expect this trend to continue tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on 76ers/Celtics UNDER 189
Bottom Line: Philly just played a fast paced game last night and I don't see the 76ers putting many points on the board tonight against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, especially when that team is well rested and coming off a game where it gave up 105 points. The Under is 6-0 in 76ers last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-0 in 76ers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Under is also 6-0 in Celtics last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Pound the Under.

4* Major Wednesday NCAAB BEST BET on Vandy -4
Bottom Line: Look for Arizona to fall flat after such an emotionally and physically draining win over Colorado yesterday against an experienced Vandy team returning 5 starters. Expect to see the Wildcats hang tight early but fade in the second half as their short 7-man rotation starts to suck wind. The Commodores are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games and 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Plus, Plays on a favorite (Vandy) in a game involving two teams who had good records (60% to 80%) from last season, with all five starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 51-17 ATS since 1997. Lay the points.

5* NCAAB Non-Conference Game of the Year on Cornell +13.5
Bottom Line: Extremely tough spot for Cuse after back-to-back big wins over very good Cal and UNC teams. Just can't see the Orange getting up for this one the same way. Cornell returns all 5 starters from last year's 21-win NCAA tourney team. Off an upset loss to Seton Hall the Big Red will be highly motivated tonight. Playing Syracuse tough is nothing new for Cornell either. The Big Red had the Orange down by 16 points at one point in last season's matchup and they covered the 16-point spread easily with a 10-point loss. In fact, Cornell has covered the spread 6 straight times against the Orange. The Big Red are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater while the Orange are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. the Ivy League. Take the points.

4* Major NCAAB MONSTER MISMATCH on Texas -15.5
Bottom Line: Iowa is giving up a ton in terms of talent. It is going to have to shoot the lights out from 3-point range to stay with the Longhorns and I just don't see it happening against a Texas defense which has only allowed 2 of 14 shooting (17.2%) from 3 this season. Texas is on a 12-3 ATS after a game where it allowed a shooting pct. of 28% or worse, winning in these spots by an average score of 80.3 to 61.7. Plus, the Hawkeyes are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Complete mismatch. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Game of the Month on Blazers -7.5
Bottom Line: The injuries are piling up early for the Warriors and that leaves them at a huge disadvantage tonight. Portland has been money in the road chalk at 24-11 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. Plus, the Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Friday games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Pacific Division, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Spurs UNDER 199.5
Bottom Line: Both of these teams just played last night so I highly doubt they will have the legs to carry this one over. But even if they were rested, I still think this number is way too high. It is almost certain that Ginobli and Parker will not play tonight. That takes away a good chunk of points and most all of San Antonio's transition game. That means we will likely see the Spurs play even slower than normal. Get ready for the old school San Antonio offense that gave the ball to Duncan on the block and watched him maneuver all game. The Spurs have played 4 straight to the Under when playing back-to-back and I expect this trend to continue. Really think this one goes Under by double digits.

4* Major NCAAB Late Night Bailout on Loyola Marymount -4
Bottom Line: UC Irvine has been a good fade since the beginning of last season as it is now 0-6 ATS in November games during this span. Loyola Marymount is 3-0 ATS out of the gate as the books are yet to recognize the improvements this team has made. Plus, plays on any team off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog, terrible team from last season who won 20% or less of their games, are 41-13 ATS since 1997. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Week on Warriors/Celtics UNDER 210.5
Bottom Line: Perfect Unders situation in my opinion. The Warriors just played an uptempo game last night with a 7-man rotation so I can't seen them having the legs to run the full 48 minutes tonight. Plus, Boston is rested and ready to bounce back after being let down by its defense the last two games. Defense will be the focus tonight and I expect Boston to completely shut the Warriors down. Offensively, Boston prefers to play in the halfcourt. Boston holds the Warriors well under the century mark as the Under comes through.

4* Major NCAAB Bailout on Cal Riverside +10.5
Bottom Line: The public is also over USC here, but I feel strongly that Riverside takes the Trojans down to the wire tonight. USC has a lot of changes to adjust to which figures to produce kinks early on. Riverside played the Trojans to a 13-point game as a 27.5 point dog 2 years ago for an easy cover and that Trojans team was a lot better than this one while this Riverside team is better than that one. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Nets +4.5
Bottom Line: The Nets may be 0-10 on the season, but they are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games and they'll be especially hungry for their first win of the year tonight after playing Miami to a 1-point game last time out. During New Jersey's 4-1 ATS stretch, it has played Philly to a 3-point game twice in addition to its 1-point loss to Miami. Both of those teams are better than the Pacers and 2 of those games were on the road. Indiana is coming off a big upset win over Boston so this one has letdown written all over it for the Pacers as well. The Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less points. Take the Nets.

3* SUREFIRE on Louisville -10
Bottom Line: With head coach John Pelphrey suspending five players last week, two of which were starters, the Hogs don't have a chance at staying with Louisville here. Louisville's press kills the Razorbacks. Lay the number.

3* SUREFIRE on Pitt -33
Bottom Line: After getting a scare by Wofford, the Panthers got the wake up call they needed. Expect them to win big tonight, covering this number by 4-7 points. Plays on home favorites of 10 or more points; solid team from last season - outscored opponents by 8 or more points/game, after allowing 60 points or less, are 75-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the number.