Sports Picks & Predictions

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Lakers pk
Bottom Line: With Jeff Green no longer on the roster, and with Kendrick Perkins (the guy they traded him for) not yet able to play due to injury), the Lakers should be laying several points here. I strongly feel getting them at a pick is a gift. LA already had a big advantage in the paint over the Thunder, which is the reason why OKC traded for Perkins. I expect the Lakers to take advantage of their size in this one. LA has won 11 of the last 14 in this series. Take the Lakers.

5* Wiseguy Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Villanova -6
Bottom Line: St. John's has defeated 3 straight ranked opponents, which has fed into their hype, but it can't be overlooked that all 3 of those wins came at home. The Red Storm hasn't had the same fortune on the road against high-caliber opponents, losing to Notre Dame, Louisville and Georgetown by an average of 21.7 points. Plus, the Red Storm have lost six straight to Villanova by an average of 12.1 points. Lastly, plays against road teams listed as an underdog or pick (ST JOHNS) off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival and up against an opponent that is coming off an upset loss, are 43-19 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this system are winning by 9.6 points on average. Lay the points.

4* Major Big 12 Blowout on Oklahoma State -8.5
Bottom Line: This is a game the Cowboys want badly, as they have lost 4 in a row overall and lost by 1 at Tech last month. I'll gladly take the plunge, considering Oklahoma State is 8-1 ATS all-time under coach Travis Ford as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. The Cowboys are winning these contests by an average of 16.2 ppg. Lay the points.

4* Major SEC Shocker on Auburn +4
Bottom Line: With Arkansas in a letdown spot following a big upset win over Kentucky, this is the perfect time to hop on the Tigers. Besides, Auburn is a perfect 6-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons, winning these contests by an average score of 67.4 to 63.1. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night *BLOOD BATH* on Trail Blazers -6.5
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Nuggets following last night's win over the Celtics. It is also tough to win in Portland and this is the first road game for the Nuggets following their blockbuster trade. Don't expect the road to bring the same good fortune. The this series has been dominated by the home team in terms of the point spread. In fact, the home team have covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 meetings. Also, Denver is just 11-23 ATS in the second games of a back-to-back over the last 2 seasons and 16-28 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Blazers fell by 19 at Denver earlier this month, so don't expect them to show the Nuggets any mercy tonight. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA *Underdog Shocker* on T-Wolves +5.5
Bottom Line: The T-Wolves have given the Hornets fits this season. They won by 15 at home in December and by 12 in New Orleans earlier this month. I love their chances again tonight as the Hornets are expected to be without David West. The Hornets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Hornets are also just 5-21 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take the points.

4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Celtics -4.5
Bottom Line: The C's have the advantage in this one as they take on a Denver team looking to break in a whole new cast of players. Last night, we played against the Knicks, as Melo and Billups made their debuts, to earn a nice cover with the Bucks +7.5. Those two did some nice things, but it was evident that New York had some chemistry issues. That's expected in the first few games with a new team, and I believe Denver will go through it tonight. Boston's last two wins over Denver have come by 16 and 14 points. Expect the well-oiled Celtics to take advantage of the new-look Nuggets in this one.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year (TNT) on Heat -2.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls have been tough to take at home this season, but this is a tough spot for them. They used a lot of energy in last night's loss to Toronto. The Bulls didn't have Noah when they defeated the Heat by 3 points last month. Miami, however, didn't have King James, and Bosh also missed the majority of that one. Motivated to avenge that loss, and with the big three intact, expect Miami to prevail this evening. Plays on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI), good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after a blowout win by 20 points or more, are an impressive 91-49 ATS since 1996. Lay the points with the Heat tonight.

4* Major Non-Conference *Cash Cow* on Hawks +3
Bottom Line: Expect the Hawks to respond in a big way following last night's brutally embarrassing loss to the Lakers. The Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. Atlanta has been a solid road team all season, and it looks like a solid investment in this motivated spot.

4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Alabama -17.5
Bottom Line: Bama is a perfect 14-0 at home this season, where it is winning by an average of 20.4 points. The Tide defeated the Tigers by 10 on the road last month, and should have no problem doubling up on that figure tonight. The Crimson Tide are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 13.0 points or more. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Bucks +7.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are getting way too much respect tonight. We can't expect Melo and Billups to step right in and for the Knicks to be a well-oiled machine in game 1. That's unrealistic. Plus, Milwaukee has had New York's number. The Bucks are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last 8 in the series, including 4-0 SU and ATS during this stretch at New York. It also bodes well for the Bucks that they were able to get a tune up game against the T-Wolves last night. Take the points as Milwaukee has an excellent opportunity to win this one outright.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Lakers -7
Bottom Line: The Lakers showed fatigue and apathy prior to the All-Star break, losing their last 3 games. Their last lost came to Cleveland, which owns the NBA's worst record. With plenty of time for that embarrassing loss to fester, I expect the now rested Lakers to do something about it tonight. Kobe showed that he still has some fire by putting on a show in the All-Star game to collect yet another All-Star MVP award. I expect to see more of that fire tonight. The Lakers have won their last 4 home games against the Hawks by an average of 15.3 points. We'll lay the points with LA here.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Illinois +11
Bottom Line: Illinois needs a signature win in the worst way to help get it off the bubble. That will be all the motivated the Illini need tonight. I'm not sure they'll be able to win this one outright, but I'm confident they can keep it close throughout. The Fighting Illini are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points while the Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. In addition, plays against home favorites of 10 or more points (OHIO ST) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival, against an opponent that is off a road loss, are 60-26 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take Illinois and the points.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Syracuse +4
Bottom Line: Villanova needed to make a season-high 11 three-point shots to defeat the Orange last month. The Wildcats have not shot the ball well from deep lately, making just 32.6 percent of their three-point attempts the last three games. Expect Nova's struggles from deep to continue as the Orange make defending the three-point stripe a priority tonight. Nova has been a fool's gold favorite recently, going 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games in the chalk. The Wildcats are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record. Lastly, the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. I really like the Orange to win this one outright but I'll take the points for a little extra insurance.

5* Wiseguy Sunday NCAAB Blowout on Maryland -10.5
Bottom Line: Off consecutive defeats on the road, Maryland returns home looking to take out its frustrations on an NC State team it has owned. The Wolfpack are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Maryland. NC State has lost 7 of its last 8 true road games with those 7 defeats coming by an average of 17.3 points. The Wolfpack are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 7.0 to 12.5 points, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Lay the points with Maryland.

4* Major Saturday Night NCAAB Bailout on Stanford pk
Bottom Line: The home court dominance in this series is too good to pass up. Consider that the home squad has rattled off 13 straight wins. Stanford, alone, has won 8 in a row at home against the Trojans. Looking to get back in the win column after consecutive defeats, and out for revenge for last month's brutal loss at Southern Cal, I fully expect Stanford's home dominance in this series to continue.

5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Year on Oklahoma State -2
Bottom Line: Under coach Ford, Oklahoma State is 18-4 ATS as a home favorite or pick, winning these games by an average of 12.2 points. Even more impressively, the Cowboys are 11-0 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning percentage between 60% and 80% under Ford. The Cowboys are defeating these teams by an average of 13.7 points. As if back-to-back road losses aren't enough motivation, a brutally embarrassing loss at Texas A&M last month will fuel State's fire tonight. Lay the points as the Cowboys have their revenge.

4* Major SEC Game of the Week on Auburn +11
Bottom Line: Off 3 straight big wins over Alabama, Kentucky and Georgia, and with Tennessee on deck, Vandy won't give the Tigers the respect they deserve today. Auburn will be lacking no motivation following an awful showing against Ole Miss. The Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points and 12-4-3 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Take the Tigers.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Louisville -3.5
Bottom Line: The Cards are 16-2 at home this season, including a perfect 6-0 at home in Big East play. Pitino slapped a matchup zone on the Huskies in the season's first meeting that gave them all kinds of fits. As a result, Louisville was able to record a 3rd straight win over Calhoun's kids. The Cards did not play well at all in a loss at Cincy in their last game, so you can bet they'll be very hungry tonight. UConn may be out for revenge, but Louisville has had its number. It has stole games at UConn each of the last 2 seasons and won by 13 at home a year ago. UConn is so reliant on Walker's scoring that it is extremely susceptible when teams make him take a lot of shots to get his points. Louisville certainly has the horses to do that to him here. The Huskies are 1-6-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 Friday games. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy WCC Game of the Year on Gonzaga -13.5
Bottom Line: Gonzaga has had this game circled since it lost by 14 at Santa Clara last month. Santa Clara guard Kevin Foster shout out of his mind in that game. Shots never fall as easily on the road, and the Zags will make sure Foster doesn't get the same looks tonight. The Bulldogs have had no trouble handing their business at home against the Broncos. In fact, Gonzaga has won 12 of its last 13 at home in this series by an average of 19 points. Their last 3 home wins over the Broncos have come by 34 points or more. Santa Clara was blown out by 25 at St. Mary's, and Gonzaga is certainly capable of putting it on the Broncos as well. The Broncos are only 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or more points. Also, the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the Zags.

4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Punisher on Bulls -1.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls are 24-4 at home this season where they own wins over the Lakers, Celtics, Heat, Mavs and Magic. Motivated by a loss at San Antonio early in the season, expect the Bulls to add the Spurs to this list. This is the Spurs' 9th straight road game. In other words, they are very fatigued at this point and can't wait for the All-Star break. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the Bulls.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Jazz -5
Bottom Line: Utah has lost 4 straight home games, but I'm confident it won't lose a fifth. After all, the Jazz haven't lost 5 in a row at home in nearly 30 years. The Warriors have been playing some good ball, but keep in mind that they have been playing it at home. Golden State has only played 3 road games dating back to Jan. 9, and it lost all 3 of them. In fact, the Warriors are just 6-18 away from home this season, where they are losing by an average of 8.0 points. The Jazz have had no problem with Golden State in Utah. They have won 27 of the last 30 at home by an average score of 108-97. The Jazz fell by 1 point to Phoenix last night, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. The Warriors defeating the struggling Hornets last night, but they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Take Utah.

4* Major NCAAB Double Digit Blood Bath on Illinois -9
Bottom Line: Going back to 1998, Illinois has won 18 of 23 meetings with Michigan. During this span, the Illini are a perfect 10-0 in games played at home against the Wolverines, and they have won those games by an average of 15 points. Also, the Fighting Illini are an unbeaten 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Motivated by Sunday's loss to Purdue, look for the Illinois to continue its dominance over Michigan.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Letdown Game of the Year on Purdue -4
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for Wisconsin after knocking off previously undefeated Ohio State. In addition, this is a revenge spot for Purdue, which lost by 7 at Madison early this month. Wisconsin has won in West Lafayette, Ind., only twice in nearly 40 years, and No. 11 Purdue is undefeated at home this season. Plus, Wisconsin hasn't been nearly as good away from home in 2010-11. The Badgers are just 3-4 with a loss at Penn State and an overtime win at last-place Iowa in their last 2. Purdue is a perfect 6-0 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season, defeating these teams by an average score of 75.1 to 58.6. Take Purdue.

4* Major NBA Dog of the Night on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz have had 3 days to prepare following a disappointing loss to Phoenix in which they blew a double-digit halftime lead, and I expect them to do something about it this evening. Utah is a terrific 21-9 ATS following a home loss over the last 3 seasons, bouncing back to win by an average score of 103.2 to 97.7. Also, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the Jazz are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings at Phoenix. Expect Utah to have its revenge this evening.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Bulls -9
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Bobcats playing the second game of a back-to-back on the road following a big blowout win over the Lakers. This is also a big revenge spot for the Bulls, which have dropped the first two meetings of the season with Charlotte. In fact, plays on any team (CHICAGO) looking to avenge an upset loss to an opponent in a home game in which it was favored by 7 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), are an impressive 48-21 ATS since 1996. Also, Charlotte is a dismal 5-16 ATS in its last 21 road games in the second half of the season when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). It is losing these contests by an average of 13.6 points. Bet the Bulls tonight.

4* Major ACC Game of the Week on Maryland +4.5
Bottom Line: The Terps will be out for blood tonight as they look to avenge a 17-point home loss to the Hokies this evening. I'd say Maryland's chances are pretty darn good, considering it has either won or lost by 4 points or less in 6 of the last 7 series meetings. Maryland is 13-4 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons and a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. The Terrapins are also an impressive 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less while the Hokies are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. Lastly, the underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: Denver is the superior team in this matchup, and I believe it will prove it tonight. The Nuggets will be very hungry this evening after blowing a 17-point lead in a loss to Memphis Sunday. Plus, a home loss to these Rockets last Monday will have the Nuggets even more focused and motivated. Denver's defense was absolutely horrendous against the Grizzlies, but that bodes well for us tonight. In fact, the Nugs are an impressive 20-7 ATS under coach Karl following a game in which they allowed a shooting percentage of 55% or higher. The Nuggets have bounced back to win by an average score of 108.0 to 101.2 in this situation. Prior to last week's defeat, Denver had either won or lost by 2 points or less to the Rockets in 7 straight meetings. Take Denver.

4* Major on Hawks -4.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are the better team in this matchup. With rest and revenge factors in their favor, expect them to prove it this evening. An embarrassing 23-point loss at Detroit in December will be fresh on the minds of the Hawks when they take the floor tonight. History tells us this is a good thing. In fact, plays on road favorites (ATLANTA) looking to avenge an upset loss, if they are coming off a home defeat, are a rock solid 99-50 ATS since 1996. This is a second game of a back-to-back for the Pistons, and their 5th game in 7 days. This is just Atlanta's 3rd game in 7 days. Take the much more rested Hawks in this revenge spot.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Warriors pk
Bottom Line: The Warriors are a respectable 17-11 at home this season where they have recent wins over Utah, Chicago and Denver. Following one of their worst defeats of the season at Phoenix, I expect Golden State to come storming back in its return home tonight. Consider that the Warriors are a ridiculous 22-5 ATS the last 2 seasons when coming off a road loss by 10 or more points. The Warriors are winning these games outright by an average score of 110.2 to 109.4. The Warriors have had 2 days to gear up for this one while OKC is being asked to play its 2nd game in 2 days. Look for Golden State to exploit OKC's fatigued legs by pushing the tempo here.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Month on Minnesota +1
Bottom Line: I like what Fran McCaffery is doing at Iowa, but they won't be ready for Tubby Smith's Golden Gophers today. Minnesota has won 5 in a row over the Hawkeyes and 4 of those wins have come by 10 or more points. Motivated by 4 straight defeats, expect Minnesota to continue its dominance over Iowa. Plus, it will be tough for Iowa to match Minnesota's level of desperation here after such an emotionally and physically draining overtime loss to Wisconsin. The Golden Gophers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings at Iowa. Take Minnesota.

4* Major on Duquesne -5
Bottom Line: The Dukes have won their last 2 home meetings against the Musketeers by 2 and 4 points respectively. Now, they have a team capable of beating Xavier in their home gym by a comfortable margin. With a week to prepare, and with last year's 36-point butt-whooping at Xavier fueling the fire, expect Duquesne to play inspired ball today. The Dukes are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall and a spotless 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Lay the points.

4* Major Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Month on Wichita State pk
Bottom Line: The Panthers have not been the same team since Lucas O'Rear went down, losing to Drake and Evansville. If the Panthers couldn't get by those squads without O'Rear, they're going to have a heck of a time getting past Wichita State without him tonight. The Shockers have had this one circled ever since falling at home by 3 to UNI last month. I fully expect them to return the favor here. The Shockers are a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season, defeating these teams by an average score of 70.7 to 56.7. In addition, road teams listed as a favorite or pick looking to avenge a home upset loss to an opponent, with 2 more starters returning from last year than that opponent, are an impressive 75-38 ATS since 1997. Take Wichita State.

5* Wiseguy Mountain West Conference Game of the Year on UNLV -1
Bottom Line: I fully expect UNLV to take care of business on its home floor tonight. The Running Rebels played the Aztecs to a 6-point game on the road last month, and that loss will motivate them here. UNLV also benefits from a couple of SDSU's key guys being banged up. Tim Shelton and Chase Tapley are both doubtful for this contest, and having Tapley at anything other than 100 percent will really hurt the Aztecs against this talented UNLV squad. SDSU is a good basketball team but a bit overhyped. BYU already exposed SDSU, and UNLV will do it again. The Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Under coach Kruger, UNLV is 32-14 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. Also, UNLV is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread. The Rebs are winning by an average score of 78.1 to 64.6 in this situation. Pound UNLV.

4* Major SEC Game of the Month (ESPN) on Tennessee +5.5
Bottom Line: Off consecutive SEC losses and playing on the road, Tennessee has been pure gold. In fact, the Vols have won 9 straight games ATS in this situation. Tennessee has also been one bad junkyard "dog". Consider that the Vols are 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points. Florida, meanwhile, has not fared well when laying points. The Gators are just 3-11 ATS as a favorite this season. Motivated by last month's loss to Florida, I expect Tennessee to have its revenge here.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Jazz -6
Bottom Line: It's sad to see a Hall of Famer like Jerry Sloan call it quits, especially in this fashion at mid-season, but I fully expect the Jazz to be sparked tonight following his exit. We have seen the way the Bobcats and Pacers were sparked by coaching changes, and I expect the same to take place in Utah. We're also playing the revenge angle tonight. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) looking to avenge a same season loss, provided the team they playing is coming off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, are 40-14 ATS since 1996. This system is an impressive 12-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Take Utah.

5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Punisher on Knicks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks have quietly been one of the best investments in the NBA at 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 games. They have been an insanely profitable investment when catching points. The Knicks are 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Recently, the Knicks have been money in the bank following a defeat. In fact, they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. With the Lakers still riding high after last night's win over Boston, and with New York out to avenge a loss at L.A. last month, the Knicks are in prime position to take down another giant at MSG, where they have already defeated San Antonio and Miami. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Warriors +6.5
Bottom Line: Motivated by 2 prior defeats to Phoenix this season, including an embarrassing performance Monday, expect the Warriors to answer the call tonight. "We played terrible, it's embarrassing," said guard Monta Ellis. That kind of disgust often fuels a great performance, and I expect no less this evening. The Warriors are 20-9 ATS versus terrible defensive teams allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, defeating these teams by an average score of 111.4 to 109.3. The Warriors are also a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Lastly, the underdog is an impressive 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Take the points.

4* Major Primetime Punisher (TNT) on Lakers +2.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers have struggled against the upper echelon teams in the NBA this season, but I expect them to snap out of it tonight. Having just lost to Boston at home by double digits on Jan. 30, the Lakers will be extremely motivated. Plus, they will enter this contest with a great deal of confidence following back-to-back road wins over quality Western Conference opponents. Also, Shaq is not expected to play tonight. He gave the Celtics a nice boost off the bench on the defensive end in Boston's recent win over L.A. I have a feeling the C's will miss his presence in the paint against his former team. The Lakers are an impressive 13-2 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 102.4 to 94.2. Bet the Lakers.

4* Major on Bulls +1
Bottom Line: The Bulls haven't lost 3 games in a row all season, and I don't expect this trend to come to an end here against the struggling Jazz. The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 4.5 of fewer points. The Jazz are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games, 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Look for Chicago to bounce back strong tonight.

4* Major NCAAB PRIMETIME PUNISHER on North Carolina +10.5
Bottom Line: With first place on the line in the ACC, expect the Tar Heels to give Duke a run for the money. Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (N CAROLINA) off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival, against an opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, are 38-12 ATS since 1997. Teams fitting into this situation are only losing by 8.3 points on average. Also, UNC is 8-0 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. After getting swept in the season series last year, look for a motivated UNC squad to keep this one close.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Clippers +7.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are giving the Knicks way too much respect tonight. We're talking about a team that is just 4-9 in its last 13 games and a team that has lost 7 in a row to the Western Conference. These Clippers are not the same team the Knicks beat in L.A. in November. The Clipps have lost 4 in a row, but those 4 losses will have them mighty hungry tonight. Plus, it must be mentioned that all 4 of those defeats came to teams ranked in the top 10 in scoring defense. The Knicks, meanwhile, allow 106.0 points per contest. Just don't see New York playing good enough defense to get the job done tonight. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the Clippers.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Underdog Game of the Year on Utah +17.5
Bottom Line: The Utes won't be lacking any confidence against this SDSU team they played to an 9-point game last month, especially now that SDSU starting guard Chase Tapley and key reserve forward Tim Shelton are banged up. Both players were seen wearing protective boots following Saturday's win over TCU and both are doubtful for tonight's contest. I still love our chances even if they do step on the floor. Off 3 straight losses, including a bad one at home to Air Force, the Utes will be hungry. SDSU, meanwhile, will be much more concerned with upcoming matchups with UNLV and New Mexico. The Aztecs are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 11.5 points or more. Utah is also a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Lastly, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Utah.

4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Bucks -7.5
Bottom Line: Off 4 straight defeats, expect the Bucks to take out their frustrations on one of the worst road teams in the NBA tonight. Under coach Triano, Toronto is a dismal 22-42 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. It is losing these contests by an average score of 108.0 to 98.4. Also, plays on home teams (MILWAUKEE) off an upset loss by 10 points or more, playing with 2 days rest, are an impressive 49-19 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Raptors are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series, and I expect this trend to continue. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Monday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Warriors -5
Bottom Line: The Suns are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. the Western Conference, 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss and 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss. The Warriors are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 vs. the NBA Pacific, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Western Conference and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. I love the way the Warriors have picked up their defense, holding each of their last 3 opponents to 94 points or less. Golden State's defense will get it the win and cover tonight.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Connecticut -2.5
Bottom Line: UConn enters this contest off back-to-back losses, which means Seton Hall is catching the Huskies at the worst possible time. The Huskies have won 10 straight over the Pirates by 8 points or more, and I'm confident we'll see this streak improve to 11. The Pirates are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less. Also, the Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Look for UConn to take its frustrations out on the Pirates this evening.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Month on Arkansas -3
Bottom Line: Off a big upset win over Kentucky, expect Ole Miss to fall flat on its face today. Arkansas, meanwhile, will be out to avenge last season's 2-point home loss to the Rebs. The home team is an overwhelming 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Plus, the Rebels are a dismal 13-28 ATS in their last 41 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Hogs are 12-1 this season at home, where they are winning by an average score of 76.0 to 61.5. Lay the points.

4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Vanderbilt -12
Bottom Line: Look for Vandy to take care of business in a big way in this extremely motivated spot. The Commodores are coming off 2 straight defeats, and they were beaten by South Carolina earlier this season. With this in mind, I have not doubt that Vandy will be very focused and hungry. The Commodores are an impressive 11-1 at home this season, where they are winning by an average score of 83.2 to 66.3. Plus, the Gamecocks are just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Celtics -6
Bottom Line: The Mavericks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. They are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog overall. The Mavericks are also just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Boston. The Celtics are an impressive 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. Playing at home with fresher legs, and motivated by a narrow 2-point loss at Dallas earlier this season, I expect the C's to take care of business in a big way tonight.

4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Hawks -7
Bottom Line: Plays on favorites after a cover as a double digit favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team winning between 25% to 40% of their games are an impressive 68-39 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average of 12.0 points. The Clipps are just 3-15 on the road, where they are losing by an average of 8.1 points. On the road in the second half of the season and matched up against a team with a winning percentage between 60% and 70%, LA is just 4-19 ATS the last 3 seasons. It is losing these games by an average score of 109.2 to 93.3. The Clippers have received plenty of buzz because of Blake Griffin, but they are still very much unproven on the road. Without Eric Gordon to aid Griffin, the Clippers will struggle tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Bobcats +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for the Heat after such a big win over the Magic last night. The Bobcats, meanwhile, are playing well, and they will especially be hungry tonight after 2 prior losses to the Heat this season. Consider that plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset win over a division rival, playing on back-to-back days, are 81-45 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are favored by 5.9 points on average, but are only winning by an average of 2.5. The Bobcats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet the Bobcats.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Year on Lakers -3.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers lost at home to Miami on Christmas. They were just defeated at home by Boston Sunday. They have also lost at San Antonio this season. Those are 3 games the Lakers wanted and they didn't get any of them. That has many sports analysts doubting whether the Lakers can 3-peat. Motivated by those defeats, expect Kobe Bryant and company to silence the doubters tonight. The Spurs may own the best record in the league, but they are far from unstoppable. They have been blown out at Orlando, New York, New Orleans and Portland. They have also lost 7 of their last 8 road games against the Lakers with all of those losses coming by at least 4 points. It's time for the Lakers to make a statement. Lay the points.

4* Major NCAAB PRIMETIME PUNISHER (ESPN) on DePaul +11.5
Bottom Line: The Blue Demons have either won or played the Irish to within 10 points or less in 4 straight and 8 of the last 9 meetings. Notre Dame did upset Pitt in its last game, but the Irish typically haven't traveled well, losing each of their previous four away games by double digits. In addition, plays on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DEPAUL) after 8 or more consecutive losses, playing only their 2nd game in 8 days, are an impressive 85-44 ATS since 1997. Lastly, DePaul is 15-5 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* Game of the Month on Thunder -7.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets are ripe for a beating tonight. They escaped with a win over OKC last week on a last second shot and Kevin Durant and company have not forgotten. I expect the Thunder to have their revenge at home in a big way here. The Hornets won't have the services of leading rebounder Emeka Okafor, and they will be playing their fourth game in five days. The Thunder, meanwhile, haven't played since Sunday. With extra time to rest and prepare, OKC has the huge advantage tonight. Great spot for the Thunder. Lay the points.

4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on K-State -7
Bottom Line: Expect K-State to roll at home tonight as Saturday's embarrassing loss to rival Kansas lights a fire. The Wildcats are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points and 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Nebraska is 0-3 in true road games this year and just 1-5 in all games away from home. Looking back, the Huskers are 16-31 ATS in their last 57 road games. Lay the points.

4* Major Mid-Major Monster on St. Louis -5
Bottom Line: St Louis has done an excellent job of defending its home floor under coach Majerus. In fact, it is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%), defeating these foes by an average of 6.1 points. Plus, the Billikens have had the number of the Minutemen. St. Louis defeated UMass by 13 last season, and the Billikens are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings overall. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Trail Blazers +5.5
Bottom Line: The Blazers have had no trouble beating the Spurs in Portland. I especially like their chances here as they are motivated by consecutive defeats. Portland is 6-2 SU and ATS versus San Antonio the last 3 seasons, including 4-0 SU and ATS at home. Under coach Nate McMillan, Portland is an impressive 44-27 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. The Trail Blazers are 33-16 ATS in their last 49 games as a home underdog period. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings at Portland. With as well as this Blazers' team defends on its home floor, I'll gladly take the points.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Illinois -8
Bottom Line: This is a great situation to back the Illini. They will be motivated by back-to-back losses and an earlier loss to Penn State. Plus, plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ILLINOIS) after losing 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%), are an impressive 33-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have won by an average of 10.8 points. Also, the Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. The Illini take this one by double digits. Lay the points.

4* Major NCAAB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Air Force +3.5
Bottom Line: Following a big upset win over BYU, expect the Lobos to fall flat on their faces against this solid Air Force squad. The fact that New Mexico has won 7 straight against Air Force assures us that the Blue Falcons will be hungry to end the slide. As a big double-digit dog, Air Force nearly knocked the Lobos off twice last season. Those close losses will provide the Falcons with plenty of confidence this time around. New Mexico has struggled on the road, where it has lost its last 4. The Lobos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. The Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Month (ESPN) on Texas A&M +1.5
Bottom Line: After losing the season's first meeting at Texas last season, the Aggies responded with a 16-point home win. Motivated by a loss at Texas in this season's first meeting, expect the Aggies to take care of business on their home floor again. Texas A&M is a dominant 12-0 at home this season. The Aggies have won 6 straight at home over the Longhorns, and the last 4 victories in this stretch have been very impressive (all by 15 or more points). One thing you don't want to do is fade the Aggies following a loss. That's because they are 9-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons, bouncing back to win by an average score of 71.3 to 59.1. It also hasn't been a good idea to go against A&M when it is in a revenge spot. Under coach Turgeon, the Aggies are 9-1 ATS revenging a same season loss, winning in this situation by an average score of 74.7 to 65.3. Take the Aggies.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Hornets +1.5
Bottom Line: After getting their 10-game losing streak snapped by the lowly Kings, the Hornets will be out for blood Sunday. The Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Suns may have defeated Boston in their last game, but the Celtics were clearly looking ahead to today's game with the Lakers. Phoenix just can't be trusted laying any amount of points. After all, it is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games as a home favorite. The Hornets are playing better basketball right now with Chris Paul emerging as the MVP frontrunner. Take New Orleans.

4* Major Big Ten Game of the Week on Iowa +7
Bottom Line: It's going to be tough for Michigan to get up for this game following such an emotional win over Michigan State. Iowa, however, will have no problem getting up for this one after a poor showing at Penn State. The Hawkeyes have covered the spread in back-to-back meetings with the Wolverines and I expect them to make it 3 straight today. Often the best time to back Iowa is when it is coming off an ATS defeat. Because Iowa has been down the last few years, odds makers really tend to undervalue the Hawks following a loss. Iowa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS loss, and I expect this trend to continue Sunday.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Trap Game of the Month on Weber State +1
Bottom Line: Weber State just lost to Northern Colorado by 19 points 1 week ago and the Wildcats are only a 1-point dog? The books have set quite the trap here, but there's no way I'm taking the bait. The Wildcats have won 4 in a row at home in this series by an average score of 79 to 70. Furthermore, Weber State is an awesome 12-0 ATS in its last 12 games following a loss of 15 points or more. Also, N. Colorado is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 road games following a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. Pound Weber State tonight.

4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Nets +6
Bottom Line: The Nets will have no problem getting up for the Bucks after getting embarrassed by the Pacers last night. As if that isn

4* Major Sun Belt Game of the Week on Florida International +1.5
Bottom Line: MTSU has lost 5 of its last 6 on the road, and its lone win during the stretch came by a single point. Off 5 straight defeats, FIU could not be hungrier to get back in the win column. I fully expect the Panthers to get the job done here. The Blue Raiders are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or fewer. The Golden Panthers, meanwhile, are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 6.5 points or less. Also, the Blue Raiders are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. This is a great spot for FIU to bring its losing streak to an end. Expect the Panthers to take full advantage.

4* Major on Warriors -4
Bottom Line: The Warriors will be extremely focused and hungry when they take the floor tonight following 3 straight defeats. And they won't be lacking any confidence against a Bobcats squad they have already defeated in Charlotte this season. This is a tough spot for the Bobcats with it being their 3rd road game in 4 nights. They've tried to play more uptempo under Silas, but it's evident they don't have the horses to run and gun with Golden State's athletes. The Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. Bet Golden State.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Suns +4
Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Boston. The Celtics are playing the second game of a back-to-back tonight against a fresh Suns team that will really be looking to push the ball. In addition, Boston will be looking ahead to Sunday's showdown with the Lakers. Winning that game against the team that defeated them in the NBA Finals means much more to Boston than beating Phoenix. Plus, Paul Pierce is really banged. He was already battling an ankle injury and suffered a thigh injury against the Blazers last night. I like the Suns in this spot regardless, but don't be surprised if Doc decides to hold pierce out. Boston is 4-16 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Celtics are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points of less, 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. The Suns need this game, and I strongly believe they'll get it tonight.

4* Major Ivy League Game of the Month on Dartmouth +4
Bottom Line: Dartmouth returns 4 starters from a team that was embarrassed by Cornell twice last season. This Cornell team isn't nearly the same with only 1 starter back, but that won't keep the Big Green from wanting revenge any less. The Big Red are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. the Ivy League. Cornell hasn't proven worthy of laying this much chalk on the road this season. Take the points with Dartmouth.

4* Major Pac-10 Punisher on Stanford -7.5
Bottom Line: Following 3 straight defeats, Stanford will be ready to take out its frustration on a team it has defeated 13 straight times at home dating back to 1998. The Cardinal are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. TheDucks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the Ducks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Stanford. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Rockets +7
Bottom Line: Dallas still isn't rolling the way it was prior to Nowitzki's injury, which leaves it very susceptible against a Houston team that is playing well tonight. The Mavericks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 19-41-3 ATS in their last 63 home games, 17-37-3 ATS in their last 57 games as a home favorite and 12-26-2 ATS in their last 40 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. It's also worth noting that the underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Take the points with Houston tonight.

5* Wiseguy Southern Conference Game of the Year on Samford +2.5
Bottom Line: Off 5 straight defeats, including an embarrassing loss to Wofford last game, Samford is primed and ready to get off the snide tonight. Under coach Tillette, Samford is 11-1 ATS off a road loss by 20 points or more. It is bouncing back to win by an average score of 65.8 to 59.7. Plus, Samford is a perfect 6-0 ATS after a blowout loss of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons, bouncing back to win by an average score of 65.9 to 51.9. Samford has won 4 of the last 5 in this series, including 2 straight at home via blowout. Take Samford.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total "Blowout" of the Week on Nuggets/Pistons UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Denver is 16-6 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season, 22-8 UNDER in road games when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons and 12-1 UNDER in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more points in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back, Denver won't have as much energy on the offensive end to push the pace. Plus, Detroit has been playing exceptional defense, holding its last 5 opponents to 86.8 ppg. Bet the Under.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Georgetown -7.5
Bottom Line: After losing at St. John's earlier this month, the Hoyas will be our for cold hard revenge tonight. Off back-to-back wins on the road, the Hoyas enter this home contest with plenty of confidence and momentum. From a betting perspective, Georgetown has been at its best following a victory. In fact, the Hoyas are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win. It is also worth noting that the Red Storm are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Lay the number.

4* Major Mid-Major Monster on Ohio -10
Bottom Line: Ohio was picked to win the MAC East in the preseason, but here it is currently sitting at the bottom of the division. The Bobcats are way more talented than E. Michigan. With 3 straight losses to motivate them, I expect Ohio to bust out in a big way on its home floor this evening. The numbers agree with this claim. In fact, Ohio is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 home games after 3 or more consecutive losses. The Bobcats are also 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games off 2 straight losses to conference rivals. Ohio dominate the Eagles tonight. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Jazz +8
Bottom Line: If you are going to back the Lakers, you normally don't want to do when they are coming off a win. In fact, L.A. is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following a victory. It also hasn't been a good idea to lay this much chalk with the Lakers, especially at home, where they are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Jazz have lost 4 in a row, so you can bet they'll leave it all on the floor tonight. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Month on Clemson -7.5
Bottom Line: The Wolfpack are 0-4 in true road games this season, losing those contests by 16.8 ppg. I don't see them notching their first road win this evening against a hungry Clemson team that will be motivated by back-to-back losses. I don't fear the chalk when betting Clemson at home because of how good the Tigers are defensively in their own building. In fact, they are holding opponents to just 58.7 ppg home this season. Plus, as a home fave of 6.5-9.0 points, the Tigers are 16-3 ATS run, winning these games by 13.6 points on average. Take Clemson.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Bucks +8.5
Bottom Line: Milwaukee has won 3 of its last 4 against Chicago. After losing the first meeting of the season by 13 points in Chicago last month, the Bucks will be out for revenge this evening. From the standpoint of the point spread, this matchup has been dominated by the road team, which has covered the number in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Plus, the Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus the Eastern Conference. The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Chicago has been playing tough defense, but Milwaukee can play a little "D" as well. With as good as the Bucks are defensively, they aren't getting the respect they deserve with this line. Take the points as Milwaukee takes Chicago right down to the wire.

4* Major CAA *Cash Cow* on Towson +10.5
Bottom Line: We won't find Towson State in a more motivated spot this season. The Tigers will be looking to put an end to a 7-game skid and they will draw even more motivation from the 59-point loss VCU handed them last season. VCU enters this matchup on a roll and with last year's result in its mind, it won't be able to help looking ahead to a date with Hofstra. The Tigers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points.

4* Major Big Monday *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Pitt -11
Bottom Line: Notre Dame is 0-3 in true road games this season, losing those contests by an average of 17.3 points. Pitt is the superior team, and it is playing on its home floor where it doesn't lose. Plus, the Panthers will be very hungry here after getting upset by Notre Dame twice last season. The Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Look for Pitt to flex its muscles tonight.

4* Major Late Night Pac-10 Punisher on Arizona +2.5
Bottom Line: Zona will be out for blood when it hits the court tonight following a poor performance against Washington in its last game. It will be further motivated by the embarrassing 18-point loss its suffered in last year's visit to Washington State. The Cougars are known for their defense, but they have had no answer for elite offensive teams like Arizona. In fact, Washington State is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 versus good shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games and 0-6 ATS versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games. Look for Arizona to win this one outright.

4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Akron -7.5
Bottom Line: Off 3 straight losses, Arkron will be ready to lay the wood when it hits its home floor tonight. That shouldn't be much of a problem against a team it defeated 71-45 at home last year. This matchup has been dominated by the favorite, which is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Akron has won 8 of the L11 at home in this series. Under coach Dambrot, Akron is 31-16 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses, winning these games by an average score of 74.5 to 61.6. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Jazz +2
Bottom Line: Motivated by 3 straight defeats, including an embarrassing loss to Boston last night, expect the Jazz to snap out of it against a team they have dominated. Utah has won 6 straight against Philly, and each of the last 4 wins have come by 13 or more points. Expect a huge game from Deron Williams tonight after being held to a season-low 5 points Friday. He is averaging 27.0 points while shooting 65.6 percent from the floor, including 8 of 10 from 3-point range, in his last two meetings with the 76ers. Utah is 12-3 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 11-1 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Jazz.

4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Spurs -8.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are begging for action on the Knicks with this line, but I won't bite. The Knicks are struggling, having lost 4 in a row, and it will be extremely tough for them to bounce back in San Antonio, where the Spurs are 23-2 this season and winning by 10.8 points on average. The Knicks embarrassed the Spurs 128-115 in New York earlier this month and I fully expect San Antonio to have its revenge. Plus, this is the Spurs' last home game before playing 12 of their next 13 on the road. They'll use it to build momentum for their lengthy road trip. The Spurs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -3.5
Bottom Line: Memphis hasn't lost 3 in a row in a month. After consecutive defeats, I have no doubt the Grizzlies will show up in a big way tonight. Plus, Memphis has already gone down to Houston twice this season. That will add a little more fuel to the fire. The Grizz have played well against the Western Conference's top clubs this month, beating the Los Angeles Lakers, Oklahoma City, Utah and Dallas. Memphis has proven it can beat anyone, and I expect it to take care of Houston tonight in this highly motivated spot.

4* Major WCC Game of the Week (ESPNU) on Santa Clara +8.5
Bottom Line: Off an embarrassing blowout loss to Saint Mary's, I fully expect this experienced Santa Clara crew to give the Zags a run for the money tonight. Consider that Santa Clara is 6-0 ATS after a double-digit loss to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Also, consider that the Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5 points while the Bulldogs are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Take Santa Clara and the points.

5* Wiseguy Thursday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bobcats -5
Bottom Line: Can't see Philly picking itself up off the floor after such an emotionally and physically draining overtime loss last night. Charlotte, meanwhile, has had a day to rest and will be out for revenge after 2 prior losses to Philly this season. The Bobcats have won 5 straight at home in this series. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Lay the points.

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA Bailout on T-Wolves +7
Bottom Line: Blake Griffin and the Clippers have created a little bit of buzz lately and the public is eating it up. As a result, odds makers have jacked up this number in an attempt to trap Joe Public. He has taken the bait. We'll go against the grain with Minnesota as it has covered the number in 6 of its last 8 road games. Already this month, the T-Wolves have taken the Celtics and Spurs down to the wire on the road, falling by just 3 points in each. The fact that Minnesota was kicked here last month means it will be out for some serious revenge tonight. Consider that Minne is 47-26 ATS in its last 73 road games when revenging a loss in which its opponent scored 110 or more points. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Bucks -6
Bottom Line: Big bounce back spot for the Bucks after 3 straight losses and big letdown spot for the Wizards after an upset win over the Jazz. As you know, Washington is 0-19 on the road, losing those games by an average score of 108.8 to 94.4. Also, Washington is 0-7 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season, losing these games by an average score of 111.1 to 96. Milwaukee, meanwhile, is an impressive is 9-1 ATS at home off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points.

4* Major NCAAB Primetime Punisher (ESPN2) on Notre Dame -3.5
Bottom Line: The Irish have been money at home, where they are 11-0 this season and have won 80 of their last 88. 2 of those 11 wins have come against the likes of Georgetown and UConn - both were ranked in the top 10 at the time. The Bearcats, meanwhile, have lost 18 straight road games against Top 25 teams. Cincy is 0-6 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 73.0 to 64.7. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Primetime Punisher (ESPN2) on Nebraska -3.5
Bottom Line: The Huskers will be extremely motivated tonight. Not only are they off back-to-back losses, but they were swept by Colorado last season. In addition to the huge motivational edge, Nebraska has the advantage of playing this one at home where it is 12-0 this season. Playing at home has been critical in this series because the home team is 9-2 SU and ATS in the last 11 meetings. Plus, this Nebraska team hits the floor tonight with a ton of confidence after playing mighty Kansas to a 3-point game last time out. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Thunder +4.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder have been looking forward to this game ever since they were knocked out of the playoffs by the Lakers last season. They catch LA at a good time too, as the Lakers' starters logged a lot of minutes in yesterday's loss to the Clippers. The Thunder, meanwhile, haven't played since Thursday. OKC is a strong 25-13 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons, only losing these games by 1.9 points on average. The Thunder have either won or lost by 3 or less points in 4 of the last 5 and 7 of the last 10 in this series. The Thunder are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest while the Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Take the points.

4* NCAAB Game of the Night on Fresno State -4.5
Bottom Line: Looking to bounce back from consecutive defeats, and out to avenge 5 straight losses in the series, expect the Bulldogs to take care of business on their home floor this evening. Fresno State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less points. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Total on Magic/Celtics UNDER 192.5
Bottom Line: Expect a heated defensive battle between the Magic and Celtics tonight. These teams only combined for 164 points when they last met on Christmas day. Play Under on any team (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a good team (60% to 75%), are 63-31 the last 5 seasons. We have only seen average of 189.7 total points scored per game in these games. The Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between these teams and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Boston. Bet the Under.

4* Major Saturday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Heat -2.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses, including an absolute pounding at the hand of the Nuggets, expect the Heat to show up in a big way this evening. Plus, LeBron James is expected to be back in action. The Heat are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite. In addition, plays on road teams (MIAMI) - good team outscoring its opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are an impressive 83-46 ATS the last 5 seasons. We find out what the Heat are really made of tonight, and I fully expect them to rise to the occasion. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Warriors -3.5
Bottom Line: Expect the Clippers to endure a major letdown tonight following Wednesday's huge upset win over the Heat. The Clippers put 111 points on the board in that victory - 13.1 points over their season average. With this in mind, consider that the Clipps are 1-10 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons, losing by 16.6 points on average in this situation. The Warriors will be motivated by back-to-back defeats, including a double-digit loss to the Clippers Sunday. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite and the Clippers are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings at Golden State. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Southwest Division Game of the Week on Rockets -1.5
Bottom Line: Having lost 4 in a row to New Orleans, this is a game the Rockets want badly. I like Houston's chances at home where it has won 9 of its last 13. In addition, New Orleans has dropped 10 of its last 14 on the road. This series has been dominated by both the favorite and the home team as both are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Plus, the Hornets are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. the Western Conference and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. the NBA Southwest. Take the Rockets.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: With or without LeBron James on the floor I like the Nuggets tonight at home, where they are 16-4 this season. It is also worth noting that 2 of Denver's home losses have come by a single point. Denver has been dealing with all the trade talk surrounding Melo, but the Nuggets will put that aside as they look to hand the most hated team in the league a second straight loss. This is a tough spot for Miami playing back-to-back, especially in Denver's high altitude. Fatigue will be a factor for the Heat in the second half. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. They are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver. Take the Nuggets.

5* NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Jazz -6.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks will not have enough legs to keep this one within the number tonight. This is their 4th road games in 6 nights and the 2nd of a back-to-back. The Jazz, meanwhile, haven't played a game since Jan. 8. They'll be extremely fresh tonight. Utah has been one of the best home teams in the NBA in recent years, but it was clubbed 110-87 by Atlanta in its last home game. That loss is not sitting well and the Jazz will be out to something about it. Utah has not been playing well over its last few games, but that is in our favor here. Consider that the Jazz are 15-5 ATS after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half since coach Sloan has been at the helm. With 3 full days off, the Jazz will be the more prepared team tonight.

4* Major NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Bucks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks played the Spurs to a 2-point game on the road last month, and I like them to finish the job at home tonight. Milwaukee has had 3 full days to rest and prepare, while the Spurs are playing their 2nd game of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 nights. The Spurs are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Bet the Bucks.

4* Major SEC Game of the Week on Vandy -8.5
Bottom Line: Big letdown spot for Georgia after a big upset win over Kentucky. In fact, Georgia is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games off an upset win over a conference rival, losing by an average score of 79.3 to 63.6 in this situation. Plus, Vandy is in a big bounce back spot after an upset loss to S. Carolina. Lay the points.