Sports Picks & Predictions

4* Major on Mississippi State +19
Bottom Line: The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Also, the Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Kentucky. The Wildcats are being overvalued here just as they have been all season. Mississippi State is coming off an ugly loss and will be that much more motivated as a result.

4* Major on Georgia Tech pk
Bottom Line: Maryland is 2-10 ATS under Mark Turgeon following a win against a conference rival. The Terrapins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

5* Wiseguy MVC Game of the Week on Illinois State -11.5
Bottom Line: You want to play home favorites or picks that check in off two or more upset losses on the road. That's because they are 70-35 ATS since 1997. This system tightens up to 25-5 ATS during this span if the team you're playing on returned 4 starters from last season. That's the case here. Pound the Redbirds.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Raptors -3
Bottom Line: The Cavs managed to beat Chicago last night without Kyrie Irving, but that's not something that's going to happen too often. Irving is still expected to be out tonight, and the Cavs will come back down to earth as fatigue sets in from them playing their 4th game in 5 days. The Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The Raptors are also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland, and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Toronto.

4* Major on TCU +15.5
Bottom Line: This is a lot of points for an Oklahoma State to be laying on the road. We're talking about a team that's 18-30 ATS in road games under Ford.

5* Wiseguy MAC Game of the Year on Ohio -3.5
Bottom Line: Ohio lost at Akron by 14 in the first meeting, but I love it at home in this revenge spot with a chance to tie the Zips for first place in the MAC standings. The Bobcats are on a terrific 44-24 ATS run at home as a favorite of 6 points or less or pick. They are also on a 42-25 ATS run when looking for revenge for a double-digit defeat to a foe. They are on a 42-22 ATS run when out for revenge for a same season loss to a foe. Pound Ohio.

5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Year on Florida State -5
Bottom Line: After back-to-back double-digit defeats on the road, and with a 71-46 loss at Wake adding fuel to the fire, expect Florida State to roll at home here. FSU is 29-15 ATS all-time when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent under coach Leonard Hamilton. It is also 10-2 ATS under Hamilton in home games when coming off 2 or more consecutive losses on the road. Prior to being blown out by Wake earlier in the month, the Noles had won 4 straight in the series with the last 3 wins coming by 24, 18 and 23 points. Everything points to FSU being extremely motivated here. Plus, it catches Wake in a letdown spot following its season-making win over Miami. Pound FSU.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bucks/Mavs OVER 211
Bottom Line: The Bucks are rested and should have little trouble scoring on a Dallas squad that ranks near the bottom of the league in scoring defense. The Bucks are 6-1-1 over in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are also 5-2 over in their last 7 road games. The Mavs are 7-2 over in their last 9 at home and 7-0 over in their last 7 versus the East. The over is 17-4 in the last 21 meetings between these two and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Dallas. Bet the Over.

5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Week on Minnesota +6.5
Bottom Line: Minnesota is 13-2 at home this season with only 1 of the losses coming by more than 6 points. Plus, its won 9 of its last 12 home meetings with the Hoosiers. The Golden Gophers played Indiana to a 7-point game on the road in the first meeting and are catching nearly that number here as Indiana is being overvalued like you would expect the top team in the country to be. The Hoosiers are 4-14 ATS all-time in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games under coach Tom Crean. They've lost these contests by an average of 7.7 points. Trust me, the Gophers are big enough, athletic enough and physical enough to give Indiana some fits. Bet Minnesota.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Jazz -7
Bottom Line: Utah is one of the very best home teams in the NBA and it has especially been dangerous at home versus the East. In fact, it is 13-4 ATS in home games versus Eastern Conference foes the last two seasons and has won these games by an average of 8.6 points. Boston's fatigue showed late last night against Portland and it will be even more fatigued tonight as it steps on an opponent's floor for the 5th time in 7 days. The C's are just 6-16 ATS on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back the last 2 seasons.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Seton Hall +5
Bottom Line: Both teams face the challenging task of competing on just one day of rest, but Seton Hall holds the advantage in this spot at home. That's because it is 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons in home games when playing with 1 day of rest or none. It's also worth mentioning that the Pirates have lost by more than 5 points at home to Villanova just twice in the last nine meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +3
Bottom Line: The Hawks enter off back-to-back wins both SU and ATS and will be out to avenge last month's loss at Detroit. However, they are just 21-35 ATS when looking to avenge a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons, 6-21 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons and 24-40 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Detroit has failed to cover the number in its last two and is off an 18-point home loss to the Pacers. But, it is 16-5 ATS in home games off a home loss over the last 3 seasons, 18-7 ATS in home games after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 10-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season.

4* Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Texas Tech +19.5
Bottom Line: Texas Tech lost the season's first meeting with K-State and was blown out by 20 at Iowa State Saturday but underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent and are playing the 2nd road game in 3 days are 123-76 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, underdogs of 10 points or more that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent and are coming off a loss of 20 points or more to a conference foe are 82-48 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PUNISHER* on Charlotte +1.5
Bottom Line: Charlotte is 11-1 at home this season and has won 4 of its last 5 at home versus Temple. The Owls are just 3-4 in their last 7 on the road and 2 of those wins came by a single point. The other came by only 2 points so I think there is solid value with the 49ers catching 1.5 here.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on T-Wolves +1.5
Bottom Line: Golden State enters off back-to-back wins SU and ATS but is a poor 0-7 ATS in road games following covers in 2 or more consecutive games this season. It has fallen hard in these spots, losing by an average score of 105.1 to 91.3.

4* Major National TV *BLOOD BATH* (CBS) on Cincinnati +3.5
Bottom Line: The Bearcats were upset at home by Notre Dame last month but are an outstanding 8-0 ATS on the road when looking for revenge for a defeat to a foe over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average score of 69.6 to 61.0 in this spot.

4* Major on Kentucky -1.5
Bottom Line: Expect Mizzou to suffer a letdown following an enormous win over Florida. It is just 1-6 in true road games while Kentucky is 13-2 at home and in need of building its resume. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

4* Major on Oregon -5
Bottom Line: Huge revenge spot for Oregon which was embarrassed 76-52 at Stanford last month. The Ducks are 13-4 ATS when out for revenge for a loss to a team they allowed to score 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Week on DePaul +5.5
Bottom Line: The Huskies haven't been on the road in nearly two weeks and that spells trouble as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games following three or more consecutive home games. The Blue Demons were blasted last time out but are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Also, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +7.5
Bottom Line: Plays on home underdogs that failed to cover the spread in their last game and are playing 3 or fewer games in 10 days are 72-36 ATS since 1996. The rest factor is huge because the Heat will be playing their third game in four days. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days rest, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast division opponents.

4* Major on Tennessee Chat +5.5
Bottom Line: Elon is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 road games and 2-5 ATS in its last 7. The Mocs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.

4* Major on Wyoming +2.5
Bottom Line: UNLV is an ultra-soft 1-12 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 2 seasons.

4* Major on Florida -18.5
Bottom Line: Highly motivated spot for Florida, which is off a loss to Mizzou and out for revenge for a loss to Arkansas. Prior to losing at Arkansas earlier in the month, the Gators had won back-to-back games against the Razorbacks by 30 or more.

4* Major on NC Wilmington +4
Bottom Line: The Seahawks are showing good value catching four at home considering they have won eight straight at home against Delaware.

4* Major on Duquesne +4.5
Bottom Line: The Bonnies are on a 4-13 ATS skid in road games following a home win against a conference opponent.

4* Major on Nevada +14.5
Bottom Line: Nevada was upset at home by Fresno State Tuesday but is on an 11-1 ATS run in road games following a home upset loss to a conference rival.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Week on Oregon State +1.5
Bottom Line: I'm expecting Cal to suffer a letdown following Thursday's big win at Oregon. The Beavers are dropped their last two but are 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. They are also 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series.

4* Major on Baylor +3.5
Bottom Line: Baylor lost the season's first meeting at home, but I expect it to return the favor. The Bears are on a 23-12 ATS run in road games when out to avenge a home loss to a foe.

4* Major on Washington State +15.5
Bottom Line: Zona is being overvalued, as it so often is in conference play, following a blowout win over Washington. The Wildcats are just 1-10 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

4* Major on West Virginia +4
Bottom Line: I expect Oklahoma State to suffer a letdown on the road today following a devastating loss to Kansas. The Cowboys are on a 17-30 ATS slide in road contests, and the Moutaineers are on a 13-5 ATS run off a road loss of 10 points or more.

4* Major on Nebraska +6
Bottom Line: Nebraska has played some good teams tough at home (Michigan State, Ohio State and Wisconsin) so it can certainly hang with the Hawkeyes who are only 2-6 in true road games this season. One of those wins came by just 2 points against lowly Penn State.

4* Major on Fordham +6.5
Bottom Line: Fordham will be the more motivated team without a doubt as it was embarrassed 102-58 at Richmond in the last meeting. The Spiders are a soft 6-17 ATS in all lined games this season, including 2-8 ATS on the road. Fordham, on the other hand, is 7-1 ATS this season after 3 or more consecutive losses.

4* Major on Massachusetts -3
Bottom Line: Motivated by 3 consecutive defeats and a 33-point loss at Dayton in the last meeting, the Minutemen will be hungry here to say the least. The line is significant as UMass is 13-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pickem over the last 3 seasons.

4* Major on Seton Hall +19
Bottom Line: Fading home favorites or pickems that check in off 2 straight wins against conference rivals and are matched up against an opponent off 2 consecutive home losses of 10 points or more has produced a 44-15 ATS record since 1997.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Blazers +9
Bottom Line: Off 6 consecutive losses both SU and ATS, now is the time to back the Blazers. February road teams that are riding a losing streak of 6 games or more are an awesome 25-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 8.7 points on average but have lost by just 3.4 points on average. The Lakers are coming off an emotional win over Boston in the wake of Jerry Buss' death, but I don't believe they can duplicate that performance against a Portland team that will be hungry to get off the snide. The Lakers are 16-39-1 ATS in their last 56 games versus a team with a losing record and 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS win. Pound Portland.

4* Major on Thunder -13
Bottom Line: Poor Minnesota. The last time it visited OKC (1/9/13), the Thunder were coming off a loss at Washington. They proceeded to crush the Wolves 106-84. This time, the Thunder are coming off 3 consecutive defeats and Minnesota will once again pay the price. The T-Wolves are on a 1-10 ATS slide in road games played in the 2nd half of the schedule versus very good shooting teams that make 48% of their attempts or more. They have lost to these teams by an average of 19.2 points.

4* Major on Nets -1.5
Bottom Line: Look for Houston to suffer a letdown on the road following a huge win over OKC last time out. The Rockets haven't been the same team on the highway where they are only 11-18 on the season. Brooklyn, on the other hand, has enjoyed its new building. It's 20-10 there this season. The home team has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.

4* Major A-10 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Butler -2
Bottom Line: I'll gladly roll with Butler laying a small number at home in this revenge spot. The Bulldogs are 13-1 in their building this season, and this is a team that has wins over Indiana and Gonzaga. Butler is 28-11 ATS under coach Stevens when up against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). This trend tightens up to 13-4 ATS if the game takes place at least 15 games into the season.

5* Wiseguy Ivy League Game of the Year on Brown +7
Bottom Line: I believe Harvard gets caught looking ahead to tomorrow's big rivalry game at Yale. On the other side, there's no chance this experienced Brown team won't be focused as it looks to end a 7-game losing streak in the series. The Crimson are just 8-21 ATS under coach Amaker off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. They are 2-9 ATS in road games under their coach when off a home win against a conference rival. Also, the Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. And, the Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Brown.

5* Wiseguy NBA Best Bet Bailout on Spurs +3
Bottom Line: The Spurs have lost the season's first two meetings with the Clippers but both losses took place clear back in November before they hit their stride. They'll be out for revenge tonight, and I fully expect them to get it. Revenge has been a strong angle to play with the Spurs. They are 55-38 ATS under coach Popovich in road games when looking for revenge for an upset loss at home to an opponent. They are also 34-19 ATS under Pop when out for revenge for two consecutive upset losses to an opponent. They have won by an average of 7.1 points in this situation. Pound the Spurs.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Duke -13
Bottom Line: Duke will be out for blood after losing at Maryland last time out. It has responded majorly with wins of 16 and 20 points following each of its previous two losses. Plus, VA Tech is 0-11 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Duke won at VA Tech by 15 last season and will certainly be motivated to run up the score on the Hokies here.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Heat/Bulls UNDER 187
Bottom Line: The Heat and Bulls have been under this number in each of the last three meetings, and I expect this trend to continue. Plays Under on all teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (Chicago in this case) that are extremely well rested team playing 3 or less games in 10 days, provided they have a winning record on the season and are playing another winning team, are 33-12 the last 5 seasons. We have seen just 183.5 points scored on average in this situation. Also, Chicago is 8-0 Under this season in home games versus good ball handling teams that commit 14 or less turnovers/game. We have seen just 175.6 total points scored in these games. Both teams are fresh enough to get after it on the defensive end following the All-Star break. Plus, both teams do an excellent job of taking care of the basketball so I don't expect many easy fastbreak opportunities off of steals. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Lakers -7
Bottom Line: This veteran Boston team can't be trusted playing on consecutive days. It is just 18-33 ATS in the second game of a back-to-back over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics are also just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Lakers were kicked in Boston on the 7th so they will want to return the favor. Plus, I'm expecting a very inspired performance from them tonight as they look to win this one for the Buss family.

4* Major on Baylor -4.5
Bottom Line: The Cyclones are capable of beating anyone at home, but they have shown that they are capable of losing to anyone on the road. They are 2-7 on the highway this season and have lost their last 4 road contests, including a bad loss to Texas Tech during this span.

5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Week on Northwestern +8.5
Bottom Line: Wisconsin won big last game but it shot 52.7% from the field. That rarely happens. Prior to that, the Badgers had shot below 40% in 5 of 7 games. Wiscy hasn't ran away from anyone on the road. It has lost 3 of its last 4 on the road and is just 3-5 in road games this season. None of its 3 road wins have come by more than 6 points. Pound the Wildcats.

4* Major on SIU Edwardsville +7
Bottom Line: The Tennessee State Tigers can't be trusted laying this many points on the road where they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

4* Major on Kentucky -10.5
Bottom Line: Called out by John Calipari and left out in Joe Lunardi's latest bracket, I'm expecting Kentucky to make a major statement with a blowout win. The Wildcats are on a 6-0 ATS run in home games versus poor offensive teams that average 64 points or fewer per game. They have won these contests by an average of 35.2 points.

4* Major on Drake -4
Bottom Line: Bradley won the first matchup but that was at home. It hasn't been nearly as good on the road where it has lost 6 straight by double digits and is 1-5 ATS in those games.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are 41-22 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons, including 29-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or fewer during this time frame. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Super Tuesday *PUNISHER* on Missouri +5
Bottom Line: Missouri has been unstoppable at home where it is 14-0 and is winning by an average of 20.0 points per game. Florida won the first meeting handily but it will be a different story at Mizzou Arena where the Tigers are 29-1 the last 2 seasons. They were 2-0 at home against top 10 foes last season, beating Kansas by 3 and Baylor by 15. Pound Missouri.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Boston College +1.5
Bottom Line: Look for Maryland to suffer a letdown following Saturday's huge win over Duke. The Terrapins are just 2-9 ATS all-time under coach Turgeon when coming off a win over a conference rival. Boston College lost the season's first meeting 64-59, but it is 8-1 ATS all-time under coach Donahue in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held it to less than 60 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls -2
Bottom Line: Plays on all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent, provided this is their third game (or fewer) in 10 days, are 40-16 ATS since 1996. Also, plays on road teams that check in off a road loss where they were held to less than 80 points, provided they are playing 6 (or fewer) games in 14 days, are 25-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Bulls are the superior team and should be able to prove that in this rested and motivated spot.

4* Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Rutgers +10.5
Bottom Line: Fading favorites of 10 or more points that have covered the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, provided they are playing their second game in 3 days, has produced an 81-46 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Basically, this system shows how oddsmakers have a tendency to overvalue teams that have been cashing a lot of tickets even when they are in the unfavorable position of playing 2 games in 3 days.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Big Monday *PUNISHER* on Pittsburgh -10
Bottom Line: The books are begging for the money to come in on Notre Dame judging by the line as rarely will you see a team laying double digits against a team with an identical record. The books clearly don't trust Notre Dame on the road where it has lost its last two by 16. Fading road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are playing with one or less days' rest in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) has produced a 29-12 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. These dogs have lost by an average of 15.3 points. Pound Pitt.

4* Major Pac-12 Bailout on USC +7
Bottom Line: USC has been a different team since firing Kevin O'Neill and yet it still isn't getting the respect it deserves from oddsmakers. The Trojans have won 4 in a row with a victory at UCLA during this stretch. Plus, they have only lost by more than 6 points on the road once in 6 conference road games this season. USC lost the season's first matchup by 8 points but that was before it started rolling. I expect this matchup to be much more competitive.

4* Major Big 10 *BLOOD BATH* on Northwestern +4.5
Bottom Line: Illinois is being overvalued here because it checks in off 3 consecutive wins. We can't forget that it is just 2-3 on the road in Big Ten play with only one of those wins coming by more than 4 points. Northwestern has won its last 2 at home, and it won by 14 at Illinois in the first meeting. While the Illini will be out for revenge, the odds are against it winning this one by 5 or more as the Wildcats have won 3 of the last 3 meetings with the loss coming by a single point.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 *PUNISHER* on Arizona -9
Bottom Line: Utah played Arizona tough the first time around but the Wildcats were riding high at 13-0 heading into that game and were looking past a team they had defeated by 26 and 9 last season. Off back-to-back losses, the Wildcats won't be looking past the Utes this time around, and I'm expecting a blowout. Arizona is 6-0 in its last 6 games in the series with a 14.3-point average margin of victory.

4* Major Southern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on NC Greensboro -4
Bottom Line: NC Greensboro lost the season's first matchup at Appalachian State by 13, but it returns 4 starters from last year's squad which beat Appalachian State at home by 4 and in the conference tourney by 10. The Mountaineers bring back just 2 starters and have been overmatched all season on the road where they are 3-11. Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that return 4 starters and are looking for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent are 104-66 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have won by an average of 7.5 points.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on South Florida +14
Bottom Line: Louisville won the season's first matchup handily but that was at home. Now, it's on the road where it has dropped 3 of its last 4. USF has hung with Syracuse, Villanova and Notre Dame at home and beat Georgetown. The Bulls are on a 6-0 ATS run in games following at least 3 consecutive defeats against the spread

4* Major Pac-12 BAILOUT on Washington -4
Bottom Line: The Beavers enter off a win at Washington State but are 1-8 ATS this season in games following 1 or more consecutive wins. The Huskies have lost 3 in a row with their last 2 defeats also coming against the number, but this bodes well for us. That's because Washington is a perfect 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. It has won by an average of 7.4 points in these spots.

4* Major WAC *BLOOD BATH* on San Jose State +12
Bottom Line: Denver is not the same team on the road where it is on a 15-35-1 ATS skid.

4* Major Big Ten *BLOOD BATH* on Nebraska +9.5
Bottom Line: The Spartans buries rival Michigan in their last game and are being overvalued here as a result. They are just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a win of more than 20 points. Also, the Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

4* Major MVC *BLOOD BATH* on Drake +3
Bottom Line: Northern Iowa is a soft 3-12 ATS on the road as a favorite of 6 points or less or pickem the last 3 seasons.

4* Major Pac-12 *BLOOD BATH* on Washington State +3.5
Bottom Line: Oregon has been overvalued in conference place and has covered the number just once in its last 7 games as a result. This is significant because it is 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons after failing to cover the number in 4 or 5 of its last 6 games.

4* Major Southern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Citadel +19.5
Bottom Line: Davidson can't be trusted laying this many points on the road against anyone. It is just 9-19 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 3 seasons.

4* Major SEC *BLOOD BATH* on Vanderbilt -2
Bottom Line: Vandy bounces back strong following Wednesday's disappointing performance against Tennessee. The Commodores are on an 18-9 ATS run in games following an upset loss at home.

4* SEC *BLOOD BATH* on Mississippi State +13.5
Bottom Line: Mississippi State is having a rough season but LSU shouldn't be laying this heavy against a team it defeated by just 1 point in the first go around. In fact, each of the last 6 meetings have been decided by 5 points or less. LSU is 0-6 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy CBB Game of the Year on San Francisco +12.5
Bottom Line: This is the prime time to fade the Zags as they enter off arguably their biggest win of the season. Gonzaga has had just 1 day to put that victory behind them and that's not enough time. It is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games when playing with just 1 day in between games. Also, the Bulldogs are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Gonzaga won the season's first matchup by 14 but SF is 13-3 ATS when out for revenge for a loss over the last 2 seasons. The Dons are also 6-0 ATS versus excellent teams that shoot >=45% with a defense of <=42% this season and 6-0 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+ games this season. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings at San Francisco. Pound the Dons!

4* Major SEC *BLOOD BATH* on South Carolina +12
Bottom Line: Bama is being overvalued at home yet again. The Tide are only 1-7 ATS this season when listed as a home favorite or pickem.

4* Major Big 10 *BLOOD BATH* on Purdue +19
Bottom Line: The Boilermakers will have no problem getting up for in-state rival IU after the way they were murdered by the Hoosiers last month. Purdue is on a 12-4 ATS run as a double-digit underdog.

4* Major SEC *BLOOD BATH* on Auburn +17
Bottom Line: Off a big win over Kentucky and with Mizzou on deck, Florida won't give Auburn enough attention. The Tigers are on an outstanding 34-18 ATS run in the underdog role and 9-2 ATS off 2 straight losses to conference rivals.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Villanova +4.5
Bottom Line: Nova has been undervalued all season and that remains the case here. The Cats are 15-7 ATS in all lined games this season. UConn, meanwhile, is 1-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Georgetown +3.5
Bottom Line: Cincy ended a 2-game slide with an 18-point blowout victory over Villanova, but it is 0-8 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Georgetown is playing some of the best basketball in the country. It has won 6 in a row SU and ATS and will be lacking no incentive with an opportunity to gain a half game in the Big East race. The Hoyas have lost 4 straight to Cincy so they'll want this game for that reason too. It should also be noted that its last 2 losses to the Bearcats have come by a combined 6 points so these 3.5 points are looking pretty good for us tonight.

5* NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPNU) on Cleveland State +5
Bottom Line: Cleveland State was hammered by Wis-GB in the season's first meeting and will be lacking no motivation here as a result. Cleveland State won last season's home meeting by 10 points so it could certainly flip the script tonight. The home team has been completely dominant in this series. It is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and has won them by an average of 12.0 points. Looking back further, the home side is 11-1 in the last 12 matchups. These 11 victories have come by an average of 13.3 points. The Vikings are 8-3 at home while the Phoenix are only 2-9 on the road. Look for the Vikes to give the Phoenix all they want and more tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -4.5
Bottom Line: Right away I love the fact that the Thunder are 18-8 ATS at home this season and 20-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. It also bodes well for us that OKC lost the season's first meeting 103-97 because it is 10-2 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent this season and 11-2 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss in which it gave up 100 points or more over the last 2 seasons. It also works in our favor that the Thunder of coming off a 15-point upset loss at Utah considering they are 9-1 ATS off a upset loss this season and 13-4 ATS off an upset loss on the road over the last 2 seasons. Pound OKC!

4* Major Ohio Valley Conference *BLOOD BATH* on SIU Edwardsville +11
Bottom Line: Murray State is getting too much respect on the road here. It is just 3-13 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons and 0-6 ATS as a road favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. It has won these 6 games on average but only by 6.4 points.

4* Major Big Sky *BLOOD BATH* on North Dakota -5
Bottom Line: Taking home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that return 4 starters and are looking for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent are 101-61 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been favored by 5.9 points on average and have won by an average of 7.7.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Year on Minnesota -4.5
Bottom Line: Big letdown spot for Wiscy following its upset of Michigan. Plus, huge revenge spot for Minnesota which fell to 0-4 in its last 4 against the Badgers with a 1-point loss in the season's first matchup. The Badgers are just 5-12 ATS when matched up against a team with a winning record this season and only 1-9 ATS when taking on a team with a winning percentage of 60% to 80% this season. The Badgers are also 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and Badgers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Pound Minnesota!

5* Mountain West Conference Game of the Year on Air Force +3
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for UNLV following Saturday's win over New Mexico. On the other hand, this is a big bounce-back spot for Air Force, which has lost its last two. I like the Falcons at home, where they are 10-1 this season, against a UNLV team that is 1-5 in its last 6 road games. The Rebels are 3-17 ATS on the road under coach Dave Rice. They are also 1-11 ATS as a road favorite or pickem under Rice. Pound Air Force!

4* Major on T-Wolves -2
Bottom Line: Expect the Jazz to suffer a letdown here following a very satisfying win over the Thunder last night. Utah is just 9-17-1 ATS in road games this season.

4* Major on Knicks -8.5
Bottom Line: This is a great spot for the Knicks, who have 2 days of rest on their side. The Raptors aren't as fortunate as this is the 2nd game of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. The Knicks were kicked at home by the Clippers in their last game, but they typically respond well. They are are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points.

4* Major on Magic +3
Bottom Line: The Magic are healthier than they've been in a while and it showed with a big win over Portland last time out. They'll be hungry tonight as they go up against an Atlanta team that has defeated them in each of the season's first two meetings. The underdog is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Cavs +7
Bottom Line: Duncan, Ginobli and Parker are all expected to be in the lineup together, and the Spurs are being overvalued as a result. This is San Antonio's third game in 4 days so it will be showing fatigue. Even the guys that have been sitting will be winded as you lose conditioning when you aren't playing. Cleveland has lost 2 in a row so it will be very focused. Plus, it was embarrassed by the Spurs in both of last season's meetings and you can bet it hasn't forgot. The Spurs are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Fade the overvalued Spurs!

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Florida State +6
Bottom Line: Fading February road favorites or pickems that check in a winning streak of at least 6 games in tact has produced a 106-58 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. These teams have been favored by 6.4 points on average but have won by just 3.2 points.

4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Texas Tech +12
Bottom Line: The Cowboys have been a poor investment on the road where they are on a 16-30 ATS slide since Travis Ford took over.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors -4.5
Bottom Line: The Rockets are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Warriors feel like they owe Houston for the embarrassing defeat it handed them last week. Lay the points as Golden State has its revenge.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Jazz +6
Bottom Line: Utah is 19-6 at home and will be focused tonight following back-to-back defeats. The Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Thunder are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Also, the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Utah!

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Cincinnati -6
Bottom Line: The Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 20 points while the Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Trailblazers +11.5
Bottom Line: The Trailblazers are a terrific 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Also, they are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Virginia Tech +14.5
Bottom Line: The Hokies are a rock solid 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Plus, the road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound VA Tech!

4* Major ESPN Big Monday *BLOOD BATH* on Kansas -7.5
Bottom Line: The Jayhawks have dropped 3 straight but 2 of those came on the road. They are 11-1 at home where all of their wins except one have come by 8 points or more. The Wildcats will be out for revenge for the 4-point home loss they were handed by Kansas earlier this season but plays against road underdogs or pickems that are looking for revenge for a home loss to a foe that checks in off 2 or more consecutive upset losses on the road are 36-10 ATS since 1997.

5* Wiseguy Big Sky Conference Game of the Year on Idaho State +17.5
Bottom Line: Road underdogs or pickems that have won 20% or less of their games on the season and that are looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent are 70-37 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 16.3 points on average but have lost by only 14.8 points on average. In other words, we are getting very good line value here. It is also important to note that road underdogs or pickems that check in off an upset loss at home to conference foe and are matched up against a team that checks in off a home win of 10 points or more are 71-40 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Idaho State!

4* Major on Bucks -4.5
Bottom Line: Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check in off a double-digit home win and are looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent are 94-49 ATS since 1996. Washington has lost 4 straight in Milwaukee by an average of 12 points. It has also lost 4 straight on the road by an average of 7.8 points.

4* Major on 76ers +5.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers enter this contest overvalued following yesterday's double-digit win against the Knicks. They are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games while the 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. In addition to this 11-4 ATS angle, we find that LA hasn't defeated the 76ers by more than 5 points in Philly dating back to 1997. This is a span of 15 games and the 76ers have won 12 of them straight up.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats +4.5
Bottom Line: It will be tough for Boston to bounce back physically from yesterday's triple-overtime contest. Plus, home underdogs that have failed to cover the number in 4 of their last 5 games that are matched up against a team that has cover the spread in 6 of 7 of its last 8 games are 30-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 5.4 points on average but have won outright by an average of 1.8 points. Pound Charlotte!

5* NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +8.5
Bottom Line: The Suns were embarrassed in OKC Friday, and I believe they will put forth an incredible effort as a result. They gave up 127 points on 57.5% shooting to the Thunder but are on a 38-21 ATS run after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher and a 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The Thunder have failed to cover the number in 5 of their last 7 on the road, and I believe this trend continues.

4* Major on Drexel -5.5
Bottom Line: The Dragons are 8-1 in their last 9 home games against the Dukes. 7 of these wins have come by double digits. The home team is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings, and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

4* Major on Timberwolves +9
Bottom Line: Memphis beat Golden State last time out but that was a tired Warriors squad that was playing its 3rd game in 4 days. The Grizzlies haven't looked too good since moving Rudy Gay and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. The T-Wolves have lost 3 in a row but 2 of those came by 6 points or less. They have also lost 3 in a row on the road but 2 of those came by 8 points or less so I feel we are getting some solid line value here. Teams headed up by Rick Adelman is 58-35 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses dating back to 1996.

4* Major on Clippers +3.5
Bottom Line: I expect the Clippers to bounce back strong from the beating they took in Miami Friday. Road teams that outscore their opponents by 3.0 points or more per game are 66-35 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are coming off a blowout loss of 15 points or more.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings -1
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for Utah which just lost a tough one last night and now has to go on the road to face a Kings team that has had 4 days of rest. The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days rest and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus Utah.