Sports Picks & Predictions

4* Major NBA "Total" Bailout on 76ers/Lakers UNDER 198.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 6-1 Under their last 7. They allowed Dallas over the century mark Wednesday after 6 straight games of holding their opponents to 98 or fewer points. I expect the Lakers to really clamp down defensively tonight. The Under is 5-0 in the Lakers' last 5 games as a favorite and 24-10 in their last 34 games following a S.U. loss. The Under is 8-1 in the 76ers' last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Friday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pistons +9.5
Bottom Line: We'll fade the Nuggets tonight as they will have a very difficult time getting up for this one after playing a late one last night at Golden State and with the Lakers on deck. The Pistons have covered 5 straight in this series. The Nuggets are a lousy 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite and just 12-23 ATS in their last 35 games after playing a game as a road favorite. The Nuggets are also just 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing with zero day's rest. We'll take the Pistons and the points tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Bulls -3
Bottom Line: The Blazers find themselves in a tough spot tonight playing their third road game in 4 days. Because of that, I'll lay the small number with the Bulls, which are 7-2 SU & ATS their last 9. The Bulls have been strong at home all season at 18-9 and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Lay the points.

4* Major Pac-10 Game of the Week on Stanford +2.5
Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for ASU. The Suns Devils are off a big rivalry win over Arizona and they have Pac-10 leader Cal up next. Meanwhile, Stanford, who is a strong 10-3 at home, will be looking to pay ASU back for a bad road loss last month. The Cardinal are an outstanding 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. Take Stanford.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Year on Cavs -2
Bottom Line: Even if Paul Pierce was expected to play Thursday, which he is not, I love the Cavs laying this small number on the road tonight. If you remember, Cleveland lost 95-89 at home in the very first game of the season on TNT. I know the Cavs have not forgotten. We cashed in on the Celtics in that game, but I expect the Cavs to return the favor in Boston tonight. The Celtics have struggled against top notch competition this season, and as a result, they are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Celtics have lost to the Hawks 4 times this season. They have also dropped 3 of 4 to Orlando. Boston is just 16-9 SU and 6-18-1 ATS in home games this season. In fact, the Celtics are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. After just losing on the road to Orlando, the Cavs will be very hungry tonight. This one may be close for a while, but I expect the Cavs to pull away in the 4th. Lay the points.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Lakers/Mavs UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The Lakers are a perfect 7-0 UNDER as an underdog this season and we are only seeing an average of 187.2 total points scored in these games. The Lakers are also 10-1 UNDER off a road win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons and the Mavs are 14-5 UNDER when revenging a loss vs. an opponent this season. Dallas has had this one circled since it lost by 5 at home to the Lakers last month. While I would lean toward Dallas getting the job done tonight, I feel the UNDER is the stronger play as the Mavs have been very good defensively in revenge games. Bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Bulls UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days against a tired opponent - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, are 19-5 the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 2-0 already this season. With Danny Granger not expected to play, points will likely he hard to come by for the Pacers tonight. We'll bet the Under.

4* Major Early *BLOOD BATH* (Big 10 Network) on Penn State +7.5
Bottom Line: Penn State is playing like it has nothing to lose and the result has been back-to-back road wins. From here on out the Nittany Lions will be looking to play spoiler and I like them to give the Buckeyes a scare tonight. Penn State is 8-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season, only losing by an average score of 63.3 to 67.2 in these games. Off a huge win at Michigan State, the Buckeyes are looking susceptible to a letdown here. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Total of the Year on Suns/Thunder UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHOENIX) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in February games are 42-9 the last 5 seasons, 30-6 the last 3 seasons and a perfect 8-0 this season. The average total posted in these games was 204 points and teams have only combined to score 196.2 on average. With Nash out, I just can't see the Suns scoring enough to push this one Over. Pound the Under.

3* NBA Side of the Night on Lakers -5
The Lakers are well rested having not played since the 18th, and they are also expected to have both Kobe Bryant and Andrew Bynum on the floor tonight. The Lakers started the month of February by losing in Memphis so they should have a little extra motivation to take it to the Grizz here. The fact that LA is coming off an upset loss to Boston actually puts us in nice position as plays on road favorites revenging a loss vs. an opponent, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 89-48 ATS since 1996, including 4-1 ATS this season. We'll lay the points.

4* Major NCAAB Dog of the Week on Texas Tech +6
Bottom Line: The Wildcats are 0-6 SU & ATS in their last 6 meetings at Texas Tech, losing by an average of 12.1 points in these games. In other words, K-State hasn't won in Lubbock since Big 12 play began in 1996-97. This is a very dangerous spot for the Wildcats tonight as they can't help but look ahead to revenge games with Missouri and Kansas up next. The Red Raiders are coming off 3 straight defeats so they should be plenty motivated here, especially since they are an outstanding 13-3 SU & 8-3 ATS in home lined games this season. We can't overlook the fact that K-State is on a 3-15 ATS slide in Tuesday night road games. Plus, the Red Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points. Look for the Red Raiders to take the Wildcats down to the wire tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Mavs UNDER 208.5
Bottom Line: Thanks to Dallas' new additions from Washington, it is a much better defensive team. In fact, Dallas' four opponents since the break are averaging only 93.0 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Indiana is 14-5 UNDER when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season and we are only seeing 198.6 points on average in these spots. Dallas is 19-9 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing 196.9 points on average in these spots. Indiana really struggles on the road, scoring just 99 ppg away from home this season. So with Dallas' renewed defensive focus, I expect this one to finish under the number.

4* Major ESPN Big Monday Total of the Month on West Virginia/Connecticut UNDER 134.5
Bottom Line: We saw only 116 points the last times these two teams met and I'm expecting another low-scoring affair tonight. The UNDER is 4-1 in the Huskies' last 5 overall and 5-2 in their last 7 home games. UConn is also 6-0 UNDER in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons and we are only seeing a total of 125.5 points on average in these spots. Lastly, Coach Huggins is 9-1 UNDER after his teams have scored 75 points or more in 4 straight games in all games he has coached since 1997. We'll bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year (ESPN) on Blazers +1
Bottom Line: Portland has lost all 3 prior meetings to Utah this season with all 3 of those losses coming by double digits. Plus, Portland is coming off one of its worst performances of the season, scoring only 76 points in a blowout loss to Boston last game. These things should add up to one of Portland's most inspired efforts of the season. The Trail Blazers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points so this is a strong bounce back team. The Trail Blazers are also 31-14 ATS in their last 45 games as a home underdog, which gives us another reason to take them seriously tonight. Lastly, the Jazz are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Portland. Bet the Blazers.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Hawks/Warriors UNDER 213.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against an opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 28-6 since 1996. Plus, the Under is 7-3 in the Hawks' last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. We'll bet the Under here.

3* SUREFIRE on Suns -9.5
Bottom Line: The Kings are really struggling offensively after shipping out scorer Kevin Martin and I expect those struggles to continue in Phoenix this evening. The Kings are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Pacific. Phoenix is 17-5 ATS versus terrible defensive teams allowing 103+ points/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, beating these team by 11 points on average. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Total of the Year on UCLA/Washington OVER 143
Bottom Line: UCLA is 12-3 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons and we are seeing an average of 152.5 points scored in these games. The fact that these two teams played a low-scoring game in the first meeting, and the fact that each team is coming off a low-scoring game against opponents that prefer to slow the pace, has brought this line down. Washington loves to push the pace at home, where it scores 85.1 ppg, and prior to scoring only 64 points last game, the Huskies had scored 78 or more in 6 straight. The Over is 28-11 in the Huskies' last 39 vs. the Pac-10 and 11-3 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Over is also 9-3-1 in the Bruins' last 13 games as a road underdog. Pound the Over.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers +8
Bottom Line: I don't trust the Rockets laying this many points tonight, especially with all the new players that are expected to make their debut with the team. It's almost impossible for a team to operate smoothly after making so many changes and I just don't see it happening here. The Rockets are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games and the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. With these things in mind, the Pacers should not be catching this many points, even if they did play last night. Indiana keeps this one within the number.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Thunder/Knicks UNDER 204.5
Bottom Line: With all the changes that the Knicks have made, further disrupting an already disrupted team, I don't expect them to get anywhere near the 103.5 ppg they average at home tonight. It also plays to our favor that OKC isn't typically a high-scoring team. In fact, OKC is 8-0 UNDER in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing an average of 190.2 points scored in these spots. We'll take the Under here.

4* Major NBA Blowout of the Week on Suns -4
Bottom Line: Expect the Suns to roll tonight at home against a Hawks team that has struggled on the road all season. Plus, Phoenix will be hungry to payback Atlanta for a 1-point defeat last month. The Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points while the Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Suns.

5* ESPN Total of the Year on Mavs/Magic UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Dallas is 17-6 UNDER in road games where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Orlando is 10-1 UNDER when playing on Friday night this season and 16-6 UNDER in its last 20 overall. With Dallas coming off a big win over Phoenix and with Orlando set to take on Cleveland next, this is a flat spot for both teams which should result in the Under.

3* SUREFIRE on Spurs/76ers OVER 192
Bottom Line: Each of these teams have played to the Under in so many games recently that we are seeing a very low number here, especially since the Over is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia. Also, plays Over on any team (SAN ANTONIO) after a game where both it and its opponent scored 90 points or less, against an opponent that scored 35 points or less in the first half last game, are 24-7 the last 3 seasons. Bet the Over.

5* NBA on TNT Total of the Month on Celtics/Lakers UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are begging for action on the Over with this line and they are getting it as the public is hitting the Over hard. But we won't bite. Both Boston and LA are playing some exceptional defense right now. As a result, both of these teams have played to the Under in 4 straight. We only saw a total of 179 points when these teams played in Boston late last month and I expect another low-scoring, defensive battle here. The Under is 30-14 in the Celtics' last 44 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 8-2 in the Lakers' last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Bet the Under.

4* Major Pac-10 Game of the Week (FSN) on UCLA +5
Bottom Line: While Washington State has the better record on the season, UCLA has been the better team in Pac-10 play. The Bruins defeated the Cougars by 12 points at home last month and I look for them to be able to keep this one within the number as well. While the Cougars are 9-3 at home, they are just 2-8 ATS in home lined games. Plus, UCLA is a perfect 12-0 at Washington State dating back to 1997. The Cougars are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. We'll take UCLA and the points tonight.

4* Major NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +7
Bottom Line: Expect an inspired performance out of the Nuggets tonight after learning that head coach George Karl has been diagnosed with cancer. Meanwhile, expect the Cavs to struggle following the trade of Zydrunas Ilgauskas, especially since it's doubtful that the guy they got for him, Antawn Jamison, will play tonight. The Nuggets are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Hawks/Clippers OVER 196
Bottom Line: The Clippers have played to the Over in 3 straight and 12 of their last 18 as they are really struggling defensively. Those defensive struggles are only going to get worse without Camby on the team anymore. The Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in this matchup and 6-0 in the Hawks' last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Bet the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Suns +4
Bottom Line: Dallas was really struggling as it entered the All-Star break, and those struggles continued last night in its first game after the break. The Mavs have some new personnel to adjust to so these struggles will likely continue. Meanwhile, Phoenix is rolling, having won 6 of its last 7 SU & ATS. It's hard to think that Dallas should be laying this many points at home, if any at all, when you consider that it is just 5-21 ATS in its last 26 games as a home favorite. Furthermore, Dallas has struggled with uptempo teams like Phoenix, going 0-10 ATS in home games versus uptempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season. Dallas is also 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 93.3 to 98.7. Take the Suns.

4* Major Big 12 Game of the Week (ESPN 2) on Missouri -2
Bottom Line: with the unranked team favored here, I think the books are trying to tell us something. The Tigers are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. The Longhorns are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Texas has not handled Mizzou's pressure defense well, and as a result, the Tigers have won the last 2 meetings. Take the Tigers tonight.

4* Major NCAAB "Total" Blowout on Kentucky/Miss St. UNDER 142.5
Bottom Line: Kentucky has played to the Under in back-to-back games as teams are starting to figure out that you have to slow down the tempo to have a shot to beat the Wildcats. Plus, Kentucky is proving to be a very good defensive team, allowing only 65.3 ppg. Mississippi State has played to the Under in 5 of its last 7 and it can really "D" up as well, allowing only 62.6 ppg. The public is strongly on the Over here and that makes me like the Under even more. Expect a heated battle to result in the Under tonight.

3* NBA Side of the Night on Suns -1
Bottom Line: After back-to-back losses to the Grizzlies, expect the Suns to break through tonight. The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games while the Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and only 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Phoenix is also 23-6 ATS versus poor defensive teams, with a shooting pct defense of >=46% in 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 120.7 to 108.2. Take the Suns.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on Mavericks/Thunder UNDER 195
Bottom Line: With the Mavs shipping some guys out and getting some new guys in, it's going to take some time for them to gel. With that in mind, odds makers have set this number too high. Plus, Dallas is 18-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons and OKC is 11-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City/Seattle. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Underdog of the Week on Rider +4.5
Bottom Line: Rider could not be more motivated tonight after losing to St. Peters at home as a 6-point favorite earlier this season. The Broncs will be even hungrier because they are coming off a home loss to Fairfield. In fact, the Broncs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. But here's the real key: the Broncs are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, the Road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the Peacocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. Look for Rider to get the win tonight.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Bailout on UCLA +7.5
Bottom Line: UCLA was crushed by USC in the season's first meeting, but since that game the Bruins have won 4 of 6 and they will no doubt be looking for payback here. It's hard to ignore the fact that UCLA is a perfect 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points under coach Howland. Plus, UCLA is 18-9 ATS in road games when revenging a loss under Howland, only losing in these spots by an average score of 68.7 to 69.4. We'll take the points.

4* Major NCAAB "Total" Blowout of the Week on Georgetown/Rutgers UNDER 140
Bottom Line: Georgetown is 13-3 UNDER as a road favorite or pick over the last 3 seasons and we are only seeing 123.3 points on average in these games as it brings the "D" everywhere it goes. Plus, the Under is 11-3 in the Scarlet Knights' last 14 home games. Bet the Under.

4* Major (CBS) on Ohio St -1.5
Bottom Line: I really think Illinois is overachieving. Ohio State has the much more talented team and I'll take the talent here. Illinois won both meetings last season so the Buckeyes will not be lacking any motivation. But here's the key: Illinois is on a 2-10 ATS slide as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick 'em, losing in these spots by an average score of 66.9 to 71.4. Take the Buckeyes.

4* Major NCAAB Blowout of the Week on Cornell -5
Bottom Line: After enduring a terrible upset last night, expect Cornell to dominate Saturday. The Tigers are just 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog of 6.5 or fewer points and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Meanwhile, the Big Red are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Look for a motivated Cornell team to lay the wood.

4* Major Underdog Dagger on St. Louis +5
Bottom Line: St. Louis is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons and 7-0 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games dating clear back to 1997. The Billikens possess a very strong home court so I will gladly take them in the home dog role today.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Line Mistake of the Month on Drake +2
Bottom Line: This is a revenge game for Drake so it will be hungry. Plus, Indiana State will be playing without 3 of its top players so I look for a motivated Drake team to get the job done here. Because of ISU's key injuries, it should not be favored today. The Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 6.5 or less points. Take Drake.

5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Year (ESPN) on West Virginia -2.5
Bottom Line: Following a home loss to Villanova, I expect the Mountaineers to be very hungry for a "W" tonight. WVU matches up very well with Pitt and that's a big reason why the Mountaineers have already destroyed the Panthers by 19 points earlier this month. While the Panthers are a good home team, they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The slower pace that Pitt prefers to play isn't conducive to beating WVU either as the Mountaineers are 7-0 ATS versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last 2 seasons, crushing these teams by an average score of 77.4 to 53.6. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Side of the Night on Spurs +6
Bottom Line: Expect the Spurs to show up tonight and give the Nuggets all they want and more after a really embarrassing effort against the Lakers last game. The Spurs have a lot in their favor tonight when you consider that the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Plus, the Nuggets are just 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite. We'll take the Spurs in the dog role tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT "Total" Blowout on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 206
Bottom Line: 5 straight and 21 of the last 22 meetings between these teams have finished below this number. The Under is a perfect 7-0 in the Spurs' last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Also, plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in February games are 74-37 since 1996, including a perfect 6-0 already this season. Bet the Under.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Pounder on Ole Miss +4.5
Bottom Line: Miss St. won the season's first meeting at Ole Miss, but I look for the Rebs to return the favor here. Ole Miss is 13-4 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS in road games when revenging a loss over the last 2 seasons. We'll take the points.

4* Major NCAAB Bailout on New Mexico +5.5
Bottom Line: I'll take the Lobos catching a generous amount of points tonight as they look to avenge an earlier season loss to UNLV considering that the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. New Mexico has the edge in terms of motivation here and that will be the difference in this one. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Clippers/Warriors OVER 212
Bottom Line: The Over is 32-14 in the Warriors' last 46 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 5-1 in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Over is also 9-3 in the Clippers' last 12 games vs. Western Conference. The Warriors feel this is a great opportunity to snap their long losing streak so I expect them to really push the tempo tonight and the "Over" should be the result.

4* Major NCAAB Rivalry Game of the Week (ESPN) on Duke -5.5
Bottom Line: UNC will likely hang around for a while, but when it's all said and done, the Heels just don't have it this year. Duke could not be more hungry to embarrass the Tar Heels when you consider that UNC has won 3 straight and 6 of the last 7. UNC is 0-6 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games this season, losing to these teams by an average of 12.3 points. Lay the number!

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Jazz/Clippers OVER 201
Bottom Line: Utah has it going on the offensive end of the floor right now so we'll gladly take the Over here, especially since the Jazz are 9-1 Over in road games off a home win in which they scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The Over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 road games and 8-3 in the Clippers' last 11 vs. the Western Conference. We'll pound the Over here as these two well rested teams get out and run tonight.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Pounder on Michigan State -2.5
Bottom Line: Purdue is on a 9-27 ATS skid as a road underdog of 6 points or less or a pick losing in these spots by an average score of 64.1 to 71.9. Off back-to-back road defeats, I expect the Spartans to bounce back strong at home where they are 13-0 this season. Plus, the Spartans are 21-4-2 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less points. Take Michigan State.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Underdog of the Week on Alabama +16
Bottom Line: I expect the Wildcats to come out flat tonight after an absolutely huge win over LSU and with Tennessee on deck. The Crimson Tide are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater. Plus, Kentucky is on a 1-10 ATS slide in home games after allowing 60 points or less, only winning in these spots by an average of 8.5 ppg. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/Warriors OVER 218
Bottom Line: We just saw these two teams combine for 211 points in Dallas last week, but with this game now being played at Golden State, we can expect the tempo to be faster and more points to be scored. In fact, the last 3 meetings at Golden State have gone over with these teams combining for an average 227.3 points in those games. Pound the Over.

4* Major Big 12 Game of the Week (ESPN) on Texas +2
Bottom Line: We cashed in with Texas last week on Big Monday, and we will ride them again here as the Horns should be even more motivated following their worst performance of the season Saturday. There is one thing that can atone for Texas' recent losses and that is a win tonight on its home floor where it had defeated the Jayhawks 3 straight times. The Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 6.5 or less points and we'll take the Horns in the home dog role tonight.

4* Major Motivational Monster on Oregon +1.5
Bottom Line: After losing to OSU in the season's first meeting, I expect the Ducks to bounce back strong with a win this evening. The Ducks are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, the Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Beavers are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Off back-to-back wins, look for the Ducks to keep it going today in this highly motivated spot.

5* Wiseguy Pac-10 Game of the Year (CBS) on Cal -3.5
Bottom Line: With first place in the Pac-10 on the line, I expect Cal to avenge an earlier season loss to UCLA today. On top of that, Cal is coming off back-to-back defeats so I don't think we'll find the Bears in a more motivated spot all season. The road team is now 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings and the Golden Bears are a spectacular 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite. Pound Cal.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on 76ers +5
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. The 76ers are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Houston. Meanwhile, the Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Take the points.

4* Major NCAAB *Underdog Shocker* on Sacramento State +4
Bottom Line: Sac State was crushed the last time it faced Portland State, but I don't see it happening again tonight. In fact, I see quite the contrary. The Hornets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog period, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. After getting brutally embarrassed at Porland State, expect the Bees to show up in a big way here.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pistons/Pacers UNDER 200.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 7-3 Under in their last 10 overall, and we have found a strong correlation between the Under and the Pacers being favored. In fact, the Under is 10-3-2 in the Pacers' last 15 games as a favorite and 9-2-2 in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Also, the Under is 7-2 in the Pistons' last 9 overall and 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog. We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -2
Bottom Line: With Brandon Roy still expected to be out, but with Tony Parker expected to be back, I have to give the edge to the Spurs tonight. Plus, revenge should also play a major factor here. The Spurs lost to the Blazers as a 13-point favorite in late December to set up a very strong situation tonight. In fact, San Antonio is 11-1 ATS when revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of 7 or more points over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 106 to 94.3. Take the Spurs.

4* Major ACC Total of the Week on UNC/VA Tech UNDER 145
Bottom Line: UNC is 6-0 UNDER against conference opponents this season. We only saw 142 points in the first meeting between these two teams and that game was in Chapel Hill. I expect this one to be even lower scoring as VA Tech is holding its opponents under 53 ppg at home.

4* Major NBA on TNT Line Mistake on Heat +9.5
Bottom Line: 7 of the last 8 meetings between the Cavs and the Heat have been decided by 9 or fewer points so I feel like we are getting pretty good value with the Heat catching 9.5. The road team has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 meetings, and the Heat will be especially motivated tonight after enduring a 1-point home loss to the Cavs in late January. I feel odds makers have made a mistake, spotting the Heat a few too many points.

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Nuggets -7
Bottom Line: The home team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings, the favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and the Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Denver. Also, the Suns are just 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are 47-18-2 ATS in their last 67 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. After getting a scare by lowly Sacramento, expect the Nugs to show up focused tonight. Plus, it won't hurt that Carmelo Anthony is expected to return for Denver tonight. We'll lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Bobcats/Lakers UNDER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team (LA LAKERS) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days against a tired opponent - playing its 3rd road game in 5 days, are 49-18 since 1996. Teams in this spot are only combining to score 186.9 points on average. Bet the Under.

4* Major Big 12 Total of the Week (ESPNU) on Texas A&M/Missouri Over 145
Bottom Line: We saw 182 points scored in last year's meeting and I expect another high scoring affair here as Mizzou's uptempo style helps push this one over the number. Mizzou is 12-4 Over in home games where the total is 140 to 149.5 under coach Anderson, and we have seen a combined score of 151.6 points in these games. Take the Over.

4* Major Big Ten Total of the Week (ESPN) on Michigan State/Wisconsin UNDER 123.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 10-2 in the Badgers' last 12 overall, 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite, and 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Under is 5-1 in the Spartans' last 6 road games, 15-5 in their last 20 vs. the Big Ten, and 28-10-1 in their last 39 games as an underdog. The Under is also 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy 53-0 ATS NBA Underdog of the Month on Warriors +6
Bottom Line: The Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Rockets are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. They are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 day's rest, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. The last 3 meetings in this matchup have been decided by 4 or fewer points. Take the Warriors and the points tonight.

4* Major NBA Line Mistake on Pacers +1
Bottom Line: Witth DeMar DeRozan and Hedo Turkoglu expected to miss, look for the Pacers to avenge Sunday's loss to Toronto. The home team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss. Plus, the Pacers only got 8 points from Danny Granger Sunday so he will be especially focused tonight. Take the Pacers.

4* Major ESPN Big Monday *BLOOD BATH* on Texas -1.5
Bottom Line: I strongly feel that Texas is the better team and it will show up focused tonight after enduring a loss to Baylor last game. The Cowboys are just 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points, including 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog of 6.5 or less. Texas shows up tonight and gets back in the win column. Take Texas.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Lakers/Grizzlies UNDER 208
Bottom Line: The Lakers won't have much left tonight as this is the very last game of a grueling road trip. But this is an experienced team, which isn't going to lay down either. Expect LA to slow the pace of this game down to give itself a chance to win. In turn, this one should stay under the number. Memphis is a good home team; we're talking 17-6 on the season. So when the Grizz are in the home underdog role, odds makers aren't expecting them to score many points. In fact, Memphis is 11-1 UNDER as a home underdog of 3 points or less since the beginning of last season, and we are only seeing an average of 184.9 points scored in these games. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/Thunder UNDER 215.5
Bottom Line: System Play: Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a loss by 10 points or more are 31-13 the last 5 seasons. Plus the Warriors are 5-0 Under in their last 5 road games with the Thunder. Bet the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Pacers +9
Bottom Line: Expect the Pacers to bounce back strong this evening after getting embarrassed by the Lakers and the Cavs this week. Toronto has been playing well, but not well enough to warrant this much respect, especially when you consider that the Raptors are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, and the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Plus, the Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Take the Pacers and the points as they take the Raptors right down to the wire with a chance to pull off the upset in the end.

4* Major National TV Game of the Week on Celtics +1
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Lakers as they are nearing the end of a gruesome road trip. Boston has dropped a pair of tough ones to Orlando and Atlanta, but I expect it to rise to the occasion against a tired Lakers team this afternoon. In addition to Kobe's broken finger, he now has a bum ankle, and that should only help Boston put the clamps on him defensively. The Lakers are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Take the Celtics.

3* SUREFIRE on Drake -1
Bottom Line: Drake will be in big time bounce back mode after seeing its 5-game winning streak come to an end. Creighton is just 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS away from home this season. Plus, Drake has had the Jays' number the last few years, posting a 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS mark. Take Drake at home.

5* NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on Hawks/Magic UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The last 3 meetings between these two division rivals have all finished under this number and I fully expect this trend to continue. Atlanta was crushed by Orlando earlier this month, and that defeat plays right into our hands here. In fact, Atlanta is 17-5 Under revenging a road loss of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing this situation produce 183.1 total points. We'll pound the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy Pac-10 Game of the Year on Stanford +11.5
Bottom Line: I know Stanford has struggled on the road, but this young ASU team doesn't deserve to be laying this many points against just about anyone. The Sun Devils prefer to play a slow-paced game and that only adds value to these 11.5 points we are catching. In fact, Stanford is on a 24-11 ATS run versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game after 15+ games. Stanford has also won 10 of the last 12 meetings at ASU. The Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points and the Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Expect the Cardinal to cover easily in an ugly game.

4* Major Early Upset on Saint Louis +7
Bottom Line: Saint Louis isn't getting nearly enough respect with this line. I've called this play my early upset because I wouldn't be at all surprised if the Billikens pull it off. I just can't justify laying this many points with Richmond when the Spiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite and 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Take the points.

4* Major Horizon League Game of the Month on Wisconsin-Green Bay +9
Bottom Line: The Phoenix will be looking for payback tonight after getting embarrassed at Butler earlier this season, and recent history tells us they'll get it. The Phoenix are a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games when revenging a loss since the beginning of last season, winning in these spots by an average score of 76.9 to 65.6. After losing at Butler last season, the Phoenix turned around and defeated the Bulldogs by 9 points at home. Wisconsin-Green Bay should be able to keep this one within the number. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA East Coast Game of the Year on Celtics +4
Bottom Line: Boston could not be more motivated in this spot. Not only will the Celtics be looking to avenge 3 straight losses to the Hawks this season, but they will be further motivated by blowing a double digit lead and losing to Orlando last night. Here's the key: Boston is 10-1 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 103.2 to 88.5. Take the Celtics and the points.

4* Major "Total" Blowout on Lakers/76ers UNDER 202.5
Bottom Line: Philly has been an Unders machine this season. In fact, the 76ers have played to the Under in 5 straight and 8 of their last 9. Because of the slower pace that the 76ers play, only teams that get to the free throw line a great deal, scoring with the clock stopped, have had good success in pushing their games over. So here's the key: Philly is 7-0 Under in home games versus poor foul drawing teams attempting 24 or less free throws per game this season. We are only seeing 181.1 points on average in these games. Take the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT MONSTER BEST BET on Mavs +2.5
Bottom Line: It really makes sense to fade Phoenix here when you consider that plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 21-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Dallas has won 3 straight against the Suns and 5 of the last 6. Plus, the Suns are really struggling right now, having lost 7 of their last 9 games, and things will likely only get tougher with all the Amare Stoudemire trade talk and with Leandro Barbosa out with injury. Lastly, the Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and the Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Take the Mavs.

4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Punisher on Magic -3
Bottom Line: The Magic will be out for revenge here tonight after falling to the Celtics at home on Christmas Day. The Celtics have lost 5 in a row ATS and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. We'll grab Orlando at home tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Favorite of the Month on Spurs -3
Bottom Line: After 3 straight defeats, expect a Spurs team that is 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games against the Hawks to be motivated enough to get the job done tonight. The Spurs recent struggles have been as much to do with poor shooting as anything, but they are on a 17-4 ATS run in home games after 3 straight games where they made 42% of their shots or worse, winning in these spots by an average score of 98 to 84.3. Plus, Atlanta is just 3-15 ATS in road games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 87.6 to 105.8. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Dog of the Night on 76ers +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for the more rested 76ers to pull the upset here against a Bucks team that just had a tough one in Dallas last night. Philly has owned the Bucks, going 7-1 SU & ATS the last 3 seasons, including 3-0 SU & ATS at Milwaukee during that span. The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Take the points.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Drake +13.5
Bottom Line: Drake is rolling, having won 5 in a row SU and 6 in a row ATS. While I think its straight up winning streak will come to an end here, I believe its ATS winning streak will continue. This is an in-state rivalry game as well as a conference clash so Drake will be extremely motivated in this spot. Drake is also 10-3 ATS as an underdog this season and 17-6 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. The Panthers are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater and the road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Bucks +7
Bottom Line: Dallas is 13-7 at home but only 5-15 ATS in those games. Plus, the Mavs have struggled with up-tempo teams. In fact, Dallas is 0-7 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game this season, winning these games by just 2.1 ppg. The Mavericks are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy C-USA Game of the Year on Tulsa +4
Bottom Line: UAB has been extremely overvalued at home recently. It was favored by 18 points over E. Carolina and only won by 8. It was favored by 12 points over S. Miss and only won by 1. In all, the Blazers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. This isn't good news considering that the Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this matchup. Plus, the Golden Hurricane are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 6.5 or less points and 25-12 ATS in their last 37 vs. Conference USA. Tulsa has won the last 3 meetings between these two teams and I'll take the Golden Hurricane catching points here tonight.

4* Major Tuesday NBA Blowout on Knicks -5.5
Bottom Line: After getting completely embarrassed by the Mavs at home Sunday, look for the Knicks to bounce back strong against a T-Wolves team losing by an average of 13.1 points in road games this season. The Knicks are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Look for the Knicks to win by double digits tonight.

3* ESPN Big Monday Bailout on Kansas -12
Bottom Line: After losing DeMarre Carroll and Leo Lyons, the Tigers don't have the fire power to stick with Kansas this season. Even with those guys, Mizzou was blown out 90-65 at Kansas last season. Mizzou relies on getting points off turnovers, and they lead the nation by forcing 20.9 per game, but I look for Kansas to abuse the pressure tonight as veteran point guard Sherron Collins won't be phased. Kansas is a perfect 11-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 14.5 points. Take Kansas.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Pacers +4.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers just fell at home to the 76ers Saturday, but I expect them to return the favor tonight. The team that loses the first game of these home and home matchups usually bounces back with a solid effort, and I expect no less from Indy here. Philly is just 5-16 ATS in home games this season, losing by an average score of 95.2 to 98.3. The 76ers are also just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win. The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 day

4* Major ESPN Big Monday Blood Bath on Georgetown +6
Bottom Line: The Hoyas took the Orange to overtime before losing by 4 points in last year's matchup at the Carrier Dome. The Hoyas should have another opportunity to pull off the upset tonight. Georgetown certainly has the size, and shoots the 3 well enough, to have success against the Syracuse zone. In fact, plays on road teams as an underdog or pick in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%) after 15+ games, and after 2 straight games making 50% of their 3 point shots or better, are 35-8 ATS since 1997. Take the Hoyas and the points.

4* Major NBA Early Cash Cow on Mavs -3
Bottom Line: Dallas is 12-1 ATS on the road after an upset defeat over the last two seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 100.4 to 92.2. Look for the Mavs to bounce back from Friday's upset loss to Philly today.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Pacers -3
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Year on Oklahoma State +9.5
Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for K-State after a win over Texas. There's just no way the Cats will be able to get up for this game the same way. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. the Big 12. Take the Cowboys as they keep this one well within the number.

4* Major MVC Massacre on Southern Illinois -2
Bottom Line: The Salukis are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less. Having already defeated SIU this season, look for Illinois State to get caught looking ahead to Wichita State today. Plus, SIU will be very motivated after laying an egg against Bradley. Lay the points.

4* Major Early Upset on Drake +5
Bottom Line: Letdown spot for Wichita St. after a big win over Norther Iowa, and it couldn't come at a worse time as it faced a Drake team that has rattled off 4 straight wins, including 5 in a row ATS. Plus, Drake will be motivated by a bad loss at Wichita State to start 2010. The Bulldogs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. Take the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Rockets/Spurs UNDER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (HOUSTON) revenging a loss where they scored less than 85 points against an opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 34-9 the last 5 seasons. We have seen an average posted total of 193.9 in these spots with the average total score coming in at just 185 points for a nearly a 9-point under the total margin of victory. 17 of the L24 games played in San Antonio in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL. Bet the Under.

3* ESPN Prime Time Pounder on Knicks +6
Bottom Line: The Lakers haven't played many games on the road this season, and it will be especially difficult for them to find a rhythm tonight after such an emotionally and physically draining defeat last night in Cleveland. The Knicks will be the much fresher and better prepared team having not played since the 18th. Plus, they will be plenty motivated to stop Kobe Bryant after allowing him to score 61 points in his last visit to MSG. The Knicks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 26-12-1 ATS in their last 39 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Lakers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Opinion Game of the Year on Mavs -2.5
Bottom Line: The Mavs are 15-7 SU & 14-8 ATS on the road this season while the 76ers are just 6-14 SU & 4-16 ATS at home. Naturally, the public is all over Dallas in this spot, and I'm going to have to agree. Dallas needed a game-winning shot to post a 2-point victory over the 76ers earlier this season, but keep in mind that the Mavs held an 11-point 4th quarter lead in that game. They'll learn from that game tonight by not letting off the gas pedal. We can't ignore the fact that Philly is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog this season, losing these games by an average score of 91.4 to 102.7. Take the Mavs.

3* NBA on TNT Bailout on Nuggets -9
Bottom Line: Eric Gordon will either not play for LA tonight, or he will play but not at 100%. Either way, without him at 100%, it's going to be very difficult for the Clippers to keep this one close tonight. Denver is 18-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons and 13-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons. The home team is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. With this being a back-to-back for both teams, the edge has to go to a Nuggets team that is 18-3 at home and winning by an average of 10.1 points in those games.

4* Major Pac-10 Pounder on Oregon State +7.5
Bottom Line: The Beavers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog, 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog period, and 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games overall. Expect the Beavers to keep this one close tonight with a chance to pull off the upset.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +3.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers were embarrassed at home by the Cavs on Christmas Day so they will be plenty motivated to return the favor tonight. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Lakers are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 games as an underdog. The Cavaliers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Expect L.A. to win round two tonight. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month (ESPN) on Utah Jazz +6.5
Bottom Line: Utah has won 3 straight over the Spurs and has lost by 6 or fewer points in the last 5 meetings. While the road struggles of the Jazz have been well documented, they haven't had those struggles of late, and they have showed up on the road against quality competition. In fact, the Jazz are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The thing I really like about Utah is that it is a great bounce back team. Following a loss to the Nuggets, I expect the Jazz to give the Spurs all they want and more tonight. The Jazz are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss. While the Spurs will be out for revenge here, they are just 5-17 ATS when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent over the last 2 seasons, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 97.5 to 99.1. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Southwest Division Game of the Week on Grizzlies +4
Bottom Line: Memphis is one of the hottest teams in the NBA, having won 4 in a row and 12 of its last 15, and I'll ride the Grizz here tonight. New Orleans is a good home team at 15-4 on the season, but it has not proven that it can be trusted laying points. The Hornets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. The Grizzlies are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. We'll take the points.